Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 26-1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8321a5ff23a1dcb6391c9090b5e9b4d266f37dedb9ad8b74c699ed3a8fcfc912
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f7a…1d90backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 47c | 15,482$7,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,243.31 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 37c | 12,922$4,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,139.62 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6bb0backed No | 0c | 11,300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 50c | 9,564$4,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,804.95 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 52c | 4,169$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.54 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b2…989cbacked Yes | 31c | 3,944$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 30cpaid | +150.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…15a8backed No | 56c | 3,739$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.61 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…dafbbacked Yes | 59c | 3,371$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…96fabacked Yes | 48c | 2,238$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9197…08d4backed No | 66c | 2,110$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 36c | 1,820$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.26 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4100…0070backed No | 68c | 1,555$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…99dabacked Yes | 36c | 1,405$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.41 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb60e…3574backed Yes | 35c | 1,345$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.52 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 23c | 1,283$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.40per pick | 15cpaid | +556.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 32c | 1,048$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.67 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…ef9abacked No | 68c | 1,010$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…e122backed No | 38c | 1,000$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed Yes | 24c | 981.52$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.34 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 32c | 730$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…8b16backed No | 76c | 710.25$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…65febacked Yes | 31c | 640.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.62 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 55c | 544.49$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Yes | 44c | 535.36$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked No | 49c | 520$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.91 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…f66cbacked Yes | 47c | 486.85$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes | 45c | 433.61$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.61 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6244…4fffbacked Yes | 48c | 416$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 64c | 390.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.96 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…230abacked Yes | 31c | 377.89$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.19 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…91b5backed No | 72c | 352.95$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 32c | 316.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.27 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b0d1backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -76%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 68c | 292.65$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 31c | 277.05$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…e02ebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed Yes | 61c | 229.49$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…de81backed Yes | 37c | 201.34$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…9a12backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace5…4457backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56a…85d7backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…a91dbacked Yes | 39c | 196.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…7484backed No | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 176.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed Yes | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Yes | 51c | 168$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a4…8f65backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…93c7backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 63c | 153.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 59c | 152.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1542backed No | 65c | 150.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…6eadbacked No | 67c | 144.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…d140backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked No | 49c | 136.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 17c | 135.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…b2cabacked No | 75c | 133.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed Yes | 34c | 126.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed No | 45c | 115.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x870b…3572backed No | 75c | 102.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…fa4dbacked No | 56c | 100.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…d67cbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa145…6db6backed No | 46c | 93.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…19cfbacked Yes | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 34c | 85.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 35c | 85.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Yes | 63c | 80.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…7834backed Yes | 49c | 78.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6f…6ac1backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 45c | 67.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…6eb4backed No | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…9b41backed Yes | 42c | 63.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e38…a018backed No | 67c | 58.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…0951backed No | 51c | 58.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 63c | 54.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -8.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d6e3backed No | 56c | 53.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…8f9fbacked Yes | 42c | 52.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +55%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 34c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…fe7ebacked No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 73cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…654cbacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b32…9fb5backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.38per pick | 53cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x124c…50c4backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked No | 70c | 43.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd998…e5c6backed No | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…f0aebacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0898…756dbacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…54efbacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…8bc8backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c3…cf1ebacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…c047backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2238…afa3backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 26-1?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 26-1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.