Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 26-1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde770ebfe670f08c28febb790da8ab33cb135af13e4862a5011d263635344ef5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $390,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $389,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 73c | 40,384$29,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,527.63 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…15a8backed Yes | 38c | 40,300$15,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,814.09 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 2c | 17,167$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,766.87 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…a19bbacked No | 6c | 9,824$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed No | 16c | 9,290$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.85 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 4c | 7,386$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,092.27 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…21bfbacked Yes | 6c | 6,557$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,157.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +987.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 8c | 6,135$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,651.27 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 9c | 4,801$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,347.35 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…56bcbacked No | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…0791backed Yes | 6c | 3,565$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 13cpaid | +315.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 29c | 3,448$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.31 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed Yes | 26c | 3,285$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 3c | 3,114$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.8 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,960$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.05 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 4c | 2,635$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.2 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 6c | 2,443$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.93 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 53c | 2,101$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.68 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 2c | 2,093$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.40per pick | 15cpaid | +556.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e0…19ccbacked No | 15c | 2,059$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8b0backed Yes | 71c | 1,835$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…a37bbacked Yes | 69c | 1,634$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.97 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +270.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 3c | 1,484$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.06 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,440$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.33 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…2dd5backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +155%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.37 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…e0e8backed Yes | 12c | 1,257$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.75 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed No | 74c | 1,246$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…e537backed Yes | 8c | 1,220$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.51 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 12c | 1,150$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.05 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 26c | 1,000$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…6055backed No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 3c | 965.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.64 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 9c | 955.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8586…1316backed Yes | 11c | 796.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 12c | 754.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.01 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…88a8backed No | 65c | 750$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed Yes | 3c | 684.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.09 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…4001backed Yes | 6c | 677.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.97 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.13 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…921abacked Yes | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5324…cc22backed Yes | 29c | 521.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 36cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 40c | 498.1$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.75 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 21c | 470$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…b0a3backed Yes | 6c | 465.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.37 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 15cpaid | +125%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 75c | 451.54$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.24 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 8c | 438.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.51 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 3c | 422.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Yes | 25c | 404.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 20c | 400$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…fcbcbacked Yes | 70c | 304$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.1 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 20c | 300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 7c | 290.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.97 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +346.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…100cbacked No | 36c | 287.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 27c | 287.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.74 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed No | 25c | 281.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca96…e679backed Yes | 7c | 266.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.66per pick | 9cpaid | +641.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 16c | 250$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…591bbacked Yes | 5c | 245.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,923.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 238.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.08 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 25c | 237.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.15 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…b235backed Yes | 9c | 232.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +152%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7f…4bafbacked Yes | 77c | 207.48$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…b94dbacked Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace5…4457backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb60e…3574backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…1245backed Yes | 9c | 168.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.58per pick | 9cpaid | +471.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0526…9fc3backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +288.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…3586backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +301.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 64c | 90$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…18e5backed Yes | 26c | 87.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +298.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…f187backed Yes | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb3…a88fbacked Yes | 30c | 66.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 56c | 65.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -8.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 48c | 63.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 73c | 60.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…9be5backed Yes | 36c | 55.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed Yes | 68c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…6965backed No | 37c | 48.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…1b11backed Yes | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +58%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed1…c46bbacked Yes | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…b1c5backed Yes | 72c | 30.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 26-1?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 26-1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.