TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60e8…4001

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 60 out of 100; worst AI at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+130.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+185.1%+$499.79
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+460.3%+$552.42
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+320.4%+$128.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$284.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.01
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,594.9%+$637.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+461.8%+$461.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+635.3%+$254.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+669.2%+$133.85
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+134.2%+$15.47
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+163.2%+$65.26
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick5cpaid-42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+538.2%+$188.36
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.62
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.19
Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.45
Will the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+536.1%+$254.88
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 16-19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 4-7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
ICE forced to unmask by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trump x Elon talk before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Ratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Fed cuts 25 bps in March Odds >15% by February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+359.1%+$71.82
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick10cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.