Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd32f73b7d90cd18287e48b11ff855bee97543ad87ab38ef3fffde06504e5c2bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,100,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,100,182 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d95…9270backed No | 0c | 1,510,217$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 62c | 393,369$244,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,342.8 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 23c | 340,095$78,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,793.77 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 79c | 184,797$146,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,244.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 42c | 184,648$77,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,215.68 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 65c | 182,240$118,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,689.72 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…3e2bbacked No | 1c | 155,949$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc258…d3f5backed No | 61c | 140,534$85,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,443.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 56c | 99,047$55,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,613.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 61c | 94,195$57,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,355.54 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed Yes | 61c | 93,975$57,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,400.17 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…c08ebacked No | 62c | 72,753$44,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,924.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked No | 51c | 54,349$27,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,532.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…15c4backed No | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…d03fbacked Yes | 40c | 36,917$14,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,990.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65aa…0eb9backed No | 15c | 35,000$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,180.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 51c | 33,433$16,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,990.19 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed No | 13c | 32,698$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.98 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…2a67backed Yes | 56c | 26,043$14,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,550.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed Yes | 67c | 25,772$17,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,383.28 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…d3f1backed No | 50c | 25,587$12,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,732.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…e08abacked Yes | 50c | 25,005$12,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,502.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c8…d2a4backed Yes | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed No | 50c | 24,412$12,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,162.35 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed No | 52c | 24,000$12,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,562.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 55c | 23,712$12,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,770.72 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…b5d9backed No | 47c | 23,506$11,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,115.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3419…d834backed No | 44c | 23,012$10,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,175.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de0…2b5dbacked No | 12c | 22,280$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…9f9dbacked No | 0c | 21,140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…4e57backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…7889backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 80c | 19,629$15,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,937.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…8178backed No | 20c | 18,389$3,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,677.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 55c | 18,059$10,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,056.72 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 8c | 17,266$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.02 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3b…1f54backed No | 35c | 16,720$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…2259backed No | 61c | 16,500$10,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,065 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 5c | 15,488$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.95 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…d8e6backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 39c | 14,777$5,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,690.87 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…c9d6backed No | 66c | 13,200$8,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,711.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…5ac0backed No | 8c | 11,949$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 29c | 11,599$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed Yes | 71c | 11,038$7,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.27 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 38c | 10,466$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.27 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…68e8backed No | 1c | 10,405$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…b5d6backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…cd88backed No | 14c | 10,000$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e6…389dbacked Yes | 62c | 9,681$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,681.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed No | 62c | 9,590$5,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,945.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…a922backed No | 43c | 9,306$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed Yes | 56c | 8,902$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.26 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 47c | 8,790$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,616.06 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 36c | 8,181$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 37c | 8,061$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,079.18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked No | 36c | 7,639$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64d…5774backed No | 14c | 7,489$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 65c | 7,474$4,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.74 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…9c01backed Yes | 46c | 7,382$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +159.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 40c | 7,341$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.86 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…50aebacked Yes | 65c | 7,274$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…66d6backed Yes | 71c | 7,042$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked No | 24c | 7,000$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…e45dbacked Yes | 56c | 6,638$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 24c | 6,411$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d82…8bb6backed Yes | 53c | 6,045$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…03f3backed Yes | 50c | 6,017$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes | 54c | 6,000$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde47…d724backed No | 24c | 5,810$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…7003backed No | 44c | 5,776$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3509…b6bbbacked No | 18c | 5,637$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 48c | 5,629$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.38 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…9f36backed No | 61c | 5,494$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b85…fcbfbacked No | 14c | 5,450$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed No | 32c | 5,327$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…1925backed Yes | 54c | 5,300$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…5d64backed No | 9c | 5,272$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf741…e082backed No | 1c | 5,200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db6…f164backed No | 63c | 5,199$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 44c | 5,050$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.97 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…a799backed No | 26c | 5,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…8033backed Yes | 44c | 5,000$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…e4d1backed No | 18c | 4,993$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed Yes | 42c | 4,900$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked No | 22c | 4,887$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…d1c9backed No | 12c | 4,780$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed Yes | 60c | 4,717$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.81 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…d0b1backed Yes | 57c | 4,632$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…64b0backed No | 36c | 4,572$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 56c | 4,417$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…374fbacked No | 14c | 4,386$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.08 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked No | 34c | 4,318$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.2 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…9783backed Yes | 51c | 4,284$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.94 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…379bbacked Yes | 53c | 4,280$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 69c | 4,178$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.5 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…005dbacked No | 54c | 4,132$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3047…a617backed Yes | 34c | 4,022$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed No | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 59c | 4,000$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.