Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc995b3a0793d4e8a23e81205ee9565e3451db623615bef10ca8cb6bb1c20a5c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,735,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,647,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,735,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf34…dc6ebacked Yes | 1c | 402,515$4,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.13 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 0c | 246,736$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.97 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 2c | 202,473$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.91 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…4581backed Yes | 2c | 173,522$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 130,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 1%1 W · 99 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -96.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 2c | 57,502$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.89 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 49,995$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…edb0backed Yes | 2c | 42,523$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 2c | 41,255$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.6 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 1c | 26,179$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.41 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fb…4ababacked Yes | 4c | 25,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe034…1a93backed Yes | 2c | 24,923$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 2c | 23,032$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.95 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 0c | 22,982$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 2c | 21,254$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…24e0backed Yes | 4c | 21,000$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 2c | 17,278$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.61 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 4c | 17,177$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.63 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…3737backed Yes | 0c | 16,350$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 16,100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 15,301$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.75 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 15,072$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.88 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…e006backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 2c | 14,691$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.03 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f7…df24backed Yes | 1c | 14,257$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 14,248$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 13,909$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…6611backed Yes | 2c | 13,746$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 13,366$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.73 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…26d6backed Yes | 1c | 13,151$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…d8e6backed Yes | 0c | 12,930$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 12,020$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,905$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 11,687$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 2c | 11,314$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.41 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 0c | 11,099$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…239dbacked Yes | 2c | 10,871$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.81 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…9627backed Yes | 1c | 10,812$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 1c | 10,641$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 1c | 10,248$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes | 0c | 10,084$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 2c | 10,001$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.29 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…da8fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 1c | 8,091$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ea…701ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,075$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cb…8de0backed Yes | 1c | 7,811$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9faa…3776backed Yes | 1c | 7,790$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…dd8ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,453$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8368…b02dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,434$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 2c | 6,919$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 1c | 6,841$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462c…ce90backed Yes | 2c | 6,788$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…a91dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,722$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.28 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4006…f9debacked Yes | 1c | 6,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…b736backed Yes | 3c | 6,639$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 2c | 6,434$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…a700backed Yes | 1c | 6,406$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…e528backed Yes | 1c | 6,089$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…897bbacked Yes | 2c | 6,075$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…a99ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,025$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…1ea1backed Yes | 1c | 6,020$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…ba8fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,649$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Yes | 2c | 5,424$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3861…ce14backed Yes | 1c | 5,414$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a073backed Yes | 5c | 5,363$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…887dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,338$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 5,209$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…fc5ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,134$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 1c | 5,132$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d71…b885backed Yes | 1c | 5,079$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…b810backed Yes | 2c | 5,034$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…4b2ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,944$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…52d2backed Yes | 3c | 4,778$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…5c49backed Yes | 2c | 4,603$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 2c | 4,571$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…57e3backed Yes | 1c | 4,540$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…049bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,524$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 1c | 4,349$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…d71bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,328$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…4958backed Yes | 1c | 4,300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…0bf7backed Yes | 2c | 4,291$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 4,213$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd609…40f4backed Yes | 1c | 4,176$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…b85dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,146$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,099$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…68c7backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…a979backed Yes | 1c | 3,862$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,819$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…ce04backed Yes | 3c | 3,710$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,533$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,417$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…ecf7backed Yes | 0c | 3,407$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…e510backed Yes | 1c | 3,343$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.