Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaec61f0dfda254971cd3f174d400618c382e01441ad8a4807f11dcc998384ba4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,801,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,764,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,801,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed No | 0c | 1,205,714$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4253backed No | 0c | 110,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed No | 6c | 50,640$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.71 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 77c | 33,737$25,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,804.52 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…fb85backed No | 0c | 33,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 4c | 28,810$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.7 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4055…69a2backed No | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Yes | 71c | 24,494$17,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,008.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3c59backed No | 0c | 24,220$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 0c | 22,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…d8e6backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…43c1backed Yes | 70c | 10,000$7,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 28c | 8,738$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.54 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 32c | 8,300$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.96 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…fbb0backed No | 5c | 6,999$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd609…40f4backed No | 1c | 5,080$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked No | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 4c | 4,500$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.96 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 1c | 4,391$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 29c | 4,036$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.58 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 10c | 3,919$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.13 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 32c | 3,488$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.8 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 11c | 3,346$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.06 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked No | 15c | 3,142$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.2 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed No | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…1b84backed No | 36c | 2,750$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…1da2backed Yes | 73c | 2,702$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.04 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b92…45eebacked No | 12c | 2,537$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 75c | 2,524$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.11 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed No | 27c | 2,201$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.26 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 20c | 2,123$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.32 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 71c | 2,100$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked No | 3c | 2,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 26c | 1,712$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.6 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked No | 5c | 1,688$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517c…7616backed Yes | 66c | 1,550$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…f4d4backed Yes | 79c | 1,429$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…49ffbacked No | 25c | 1,333$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.25 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x323d…b9b1backed No | 25c | 1,332$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ed…b5c4backed Yes | 78c | 1,327$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,300$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…24ddbacked Yes | 72c | 1,201$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f8…a547backed Yes | 75c | 1,080$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…b78ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,055$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.26 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…6b92backed No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…05aebacked Yes | 79c | 978.74$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed No | 7c | 967.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6c…741fbacked No | 27c | 962.32$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…97edbacked No | 3c | 900$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 27c | 863.11$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.67 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…ee2dbacked No | 34c | 852.94$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 10c | 782.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 65c | 779.47$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.21 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…9c71backed Yes | 65c | 770$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…05efbacked No | 29c | 735$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…02d5backed No | 8c | 724.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 72c | 711.96$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.05 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 9c | 701.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…2735backed Yes | 78c | 660.18$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 16c | 608.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Yes | 67c | 601.47$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.49 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 558$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…8075backed Yes | 71c | 520$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 17c | 515.42$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes | 67c | 502.85$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.94 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…20e4backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…b101backed Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked No | 4c | 499.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…aa62backed Yes | 72c | 483.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…b366backed Yes | 71c | 449.99$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…96ebbacked Yes | 68c | 439.07$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…e1e2backed No | 12c | 415.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5678…e468backed Yes | 74c | 404$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 76c | 393.42$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5759…2d3fbacked Yes | 66c | 385.74$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.19 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…17d4backed No | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc752…8d82backed No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 28c | 352.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…d9d6backed Yes | 73c | 350$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked No | 6c | 339.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c6…1c87backed No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…4bd7backed Yes | 69c | 329.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d7…cf4bbacked Yes | 69c | 300$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 299.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…ef37backed Yes | 76c | 297.4$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…4806backed No | 34c | 295.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…9be5backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7812…0924backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 27c | 280.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…e31fbacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…c098backed No | 29c | 270.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 76c | 261.84$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf7…a6d6backed Yes | 75c | 251.11$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 74c | 246.57$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.