TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93d7…7423

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
482
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Tweets at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT34848.6%169 W · 179 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 348 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.32
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.01
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$7.34
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.54
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$640.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.34
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$711.35
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will XRP reach $1.30 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$803.06
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$708.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$96.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$80.51
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$41.58
Will XRP dip to $1.10 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$149.63
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$21.08
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$28.4
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$123.55
Will Solana dip to $70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$23.76
Will Solana dip to $70 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+118.1%+$238.43
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.71
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$24.45
Showing 25 of 348 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST4010%4 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-62.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$252.43
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$21.2
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.31
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14.68
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$184.1
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.42
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18.79
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$56.51
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+180.6%+$304.16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.04
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$45.97
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$32.08
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34.52
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$889.36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$31.76
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$83.18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$38.74
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$183.67
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$28.93
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$93.19
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$53.29
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-44.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$161
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,566.42
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$74.56
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.44
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$92.25
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,785Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$5,784.62
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+220.4%+$438.55
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18,285Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+60.2%+$11,001.78
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.68
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$371
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+36.8%+$367.88
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+58.7%+$17.03
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$28.96
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.32
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+51%+$10.72
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.88
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.15
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$11.31
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.88
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$58.67
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+88.7%+$176.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Clara Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$61.03
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+62.4%+$13.11
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+56.7%+$57.73
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.58
UCLA Bruins vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.21
Texas State Bobcats vs. Rice Owlsbacked Texas State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.37
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Auburn Tigersbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35.98
Louisville Cardinals vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$89.41
Richmond Spiders vs. Belmont Bruinsbacked Belmont Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$199
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+129.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+170.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO5)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.92
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+60.9%+$96.41
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$99
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.27
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+47.1%+$46.59
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+528.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+528.9%+$206.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$52.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.