NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa57ed54504fd419502ad7d8ad3adfc480ab10fe3a5def1efdcd8f0fd266d5857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Utah, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,699,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,529,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,699,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 896 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Ducks | 50c | 359,826$179,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179,913.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Utah | 50c | 286,301$143,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143,155.95 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Ducks | 50c | 215,000$107,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,500 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Ducks | 19c | 188,394$35,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,493.26 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Ducks | 5c | 163,442$8,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,984.53 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Utah | 50c | 152,602$76,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,300.81 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks | 30c | 75,000$22,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,649.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Utah | 53c | 63,687$34,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,649.71 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Utah | 50c | 46,665$23,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,332.5 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Utah | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Utah | 50c | 36,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Ducks | 49c | 34,418$16,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,865.04 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Utah | 50c | 30,292$15,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,145.88 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks | 19c | 30,154$5,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,729.35 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Ducks | 31c | 29,206$9,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,035.58 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Utah | 51c | 20,000$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Ducks | 50c | 19,627$9,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,813.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Ducks | 19c | 16,786$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.55 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Utah | 51c | 15,076$7,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,387.26 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1083…639fbacked Utah | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…48b4backed Ducks | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 49c | 11,489$5,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,683.58 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah | 51c | 11,000$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,359.97 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Utah | 50c | 10,886$5,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,442.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Utah | 52c | 10,151$5,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,915.29 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Ducks | 1c | 10,000$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Ducks | 16c | 9,533$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.14 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Utah | 74c | 7,610$5,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.57 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah | 50c | 7,585$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.5 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Ducks | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Ducks | 20c | 7,459$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.82 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Ducks | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah | 51c | 6,666$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.34 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Utah | 50c | 6,000$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Utah | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Ducks | 49c | 5,624$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.26 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Ducks | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 0c | 5,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Utah | 77c | 4,896$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.78 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Ducks | 50c | 4,680$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah | 51c | 4,199$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.53 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cd…eb97backed Ducks | 50c | 4,019$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45bb…59c3backed Utah | 50c | 4,010$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Utah | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Utah | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Ducks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Utah | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Utah | 51c | 3,842$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.56 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Utah | 49c | 3,413$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.56 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Ducks | 27c | 3,324$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.35 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff51…83e3backed Utah | 51c | 3,300$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Ducks | 40c | 3,267$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.02 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Ducks | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Utah | 50c | 2,967$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.32 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Ducks | 6c | 2,942$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.9 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Utah | 50c | 2,886$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.21 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 50c | 2,701$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.58 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks | 49c | 2,600$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.96 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah | 50c | 2,437$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.39 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ca…b99dbacked Ducks | 50c | 2,424$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…fe58backed Utah | 51c | 2,322$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Ducks | 50c | 2,222$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.29 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…6d2fbacked Ducks | 50c | 2,096$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Utah | 50c | 2,035$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.39 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cd…206fbacked Ducks | 49c | 2,019$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Utah | 50c | 2,008$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Ducks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Utah | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Utah | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebd…a1e7backed Ducks | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf26…d919backed Utah | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah | 69c | 1,974$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.93 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce5…1e93backed Utah | 50c | 1,965$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x911e…6742backed Ducks | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Ducks | 49c | 1,884$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.99 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,754$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.08 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Ducks | 50c | 1,682$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Utah | 72c | 1,647$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.54 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Utah | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Utah | 50c | 1,500$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…f1eabacked Ducks | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…8d32backed Ducks | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…915ebacked Ducks | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…a910backed Ducks | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5766…b38abacked Ducks | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…295ebacked Utah | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…2a7ebacked Ducks | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32db…b7b4backed Ducks | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcde…661abacked Ducks | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…d415backed Ducks | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…efd8backed Ducks | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…8889backed Ducks | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…a572backed Ducks | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a4…ec67backed Utah | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf95…f5babacked Utah | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…8499backed Utah | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…c340backed Ducks | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…754dbacked Utah | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…baecbacked Utah | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Ducksthis page
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.