NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30836006af5a21d74ebc638470353362ff1f9eaae2f933076a1bbb14c5c9a098
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c3d…b407backed Under | 50c | 5,400$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…9eb1backed Over | 50c | 5,400$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…5befbacked Under | 50c | 5,400$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…81cebacked Over | 50c | 5,400$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb28…598fbacked Under | 50c | 5,400$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…3bd8backed Under | 50c | 5,400$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…000bbacked Over | 50c | 5,400$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa6…6b31backed Over | 50c | 5,400$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Over | 3c | 3,654$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.48 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 60c | 3,046$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.71 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 2,890$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.62 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 2,606$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.93 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Under | 49c | 2,253$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Over | 51c | 1,916$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.77 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 49c | 1,474$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.38 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 52c | 961.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.92 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 52c | 961.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.53 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 21c | 655.39$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 623.53$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.53 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 444$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 421$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.35 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…3290backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 8c | 385$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.2 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Over | 53c | 377.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 53c | 376.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 50c | 358$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.24 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 51c | 337.51$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.07 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 48c | 132$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87b…946dbacked Under | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Over | 40c | 67.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f5…8aafbacked Over | 51c | 58.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 53.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…8d99backed Over | 51c | 44.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…beedbacked Under | 51c | 43.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490c…57b3backed Under | 50c | 40.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Over | 47c | 33.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…d8adbacked Under | 37c | 31.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96e…8793backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 51c | 21.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. DucksUtah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.