TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35ac…92a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
428
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT27548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 275 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,730
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,850
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$614.53
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$2,949.94
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.12
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,050
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,599.97
Kraken vs. Bluesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,350
Kings vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$2,699.95
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,660Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+80.2%+$5,340
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$1,900
Panthers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,852Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,852.03
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$2,000
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$4,239.99
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,840
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,430
Hurricanes vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,270.72
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,960Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$2,040
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,099.99
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$1,450
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$2,699.99
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$2,100
Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$507.88
Sharks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$66.75
Showing 25 of 275 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT12144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,807.99
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,399.99
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$171.15
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,619.92
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+316.7%+$3,800
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$2,900
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,959.98
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,920
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,960
Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$93.57
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$212.7
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,088.66
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,039.99
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$510
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$867.41
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$566.26
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+138.1%+$2,319.97
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,113.02
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,409.98
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$2,359.99
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$1,265.59
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+117.4%+$809.99
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,650
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,639.99
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$4,620
Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,999.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: French Flair vs BK ROG Esports (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked BK ROG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$2,199.99
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$2,500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+555.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Djokovic vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Over 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+555.3%+$5,107.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$941Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+132.6%+$1,246.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,819.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,060Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,940
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$426.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,399.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,600
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.