TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,175 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c34,022$18,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,069.661,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3006653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c9,232$4,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,893.4556152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under47c7,832$3,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,150.853743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over52c6,269$3,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,259.9910146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9889547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Under46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.9527548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.9951045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under47c2,953$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.0936748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Over53c2,830$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003327.3%9 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-39.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under48c2,730$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.5322550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c2,517$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.8993953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c2,433$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.282,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under46c2,391$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.333243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over52c2,350$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22229146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over53c2,308$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.91,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c2,292$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.6785250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82b7…cc32backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0606443.8%28 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over54c1,669$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.2679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over52c1,112$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.2986852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under47c1,057$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.191,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c1,000$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.3591653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under47c723$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.1984953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under45c501.75$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.341,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9018547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over53c453.96$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.63467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under27c325$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.742,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c296.15$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15522352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509547.4%45 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over55c278.02$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.882,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under43c236$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1718344.8%82 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Over52c211.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010850.9%55 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.336851.5%35 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10859950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10476450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Over56c179.09$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.76936.2%25 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over52c175.95$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4910439.4%41 W · 63 L-10.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Under47c158.3$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Over52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7518548.1%89 W · 96 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Under39c128.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over52c121$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.921,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over16c107.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1822728.2%64 W · 163 L-17.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64ac…2108backed Over53c105.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over55c100.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5542558.6%249 W · 176 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.13467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505151%26 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023158%134 W · 97 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under48c85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.262447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed Under47c85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Under48c84.34$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.446959.4%41 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over24c83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5529553.6%158 W · 137 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under47c77.77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2216254.9%89 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under54c70.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.613151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+195.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Over52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.44940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.522030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over61c65.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.983,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9689…be06backed Under48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.471,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over52c57.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1510858.3%63 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018949.2%93 W · 96 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb858…7dc3backed Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012855.5%71 W · 57 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Over54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Over54c43.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4826357.8%152 W · 111 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over53c43.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.559245.7%42 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6710864.8%70 W · 38 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9501…4dccbacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over64c39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1112152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over52c38.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1845151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under48c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7613557.8%78 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over62c37.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.352,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under55c35.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1323754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c35.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.132,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8286049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5afa…3dd1backed Over53c32.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a4c…d10cbacked Over55c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Under46c28.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.319440.4%38 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Over54c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.122568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over54c27.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.721,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over58c26.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.613954%75 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over62c26.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.59350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x335d…ce5fbacked Over53c22.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.096839.7%27 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over56c22.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.617038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bab…2022backed Over54c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3945…7077backed Over54c20.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118355.4%46 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.459852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.