NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68a0c1293ac633a2bf9a4abdf190d0a8825d1c8cba10493a71ed530bd7a1103a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Kings, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,573,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,622,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,573,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Golden Knights | 55c | 466,780$258,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208,673.94 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Kings | 45c | 412,845$185,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185,780.05 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Kings | 44c | 110,000$48,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,099.96 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Golden Knights | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,999.91 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kings | 46c | 90,000$41,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,399.98 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 43c | 74,620$32,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,429.01 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Kings | 46c | 52,520$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 55c | 50,000$27,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,650 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Golden Knights | 55c | 35,000$19,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,791.45 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 30,443$17,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,394.92 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,900 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 28,540$15,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,128.17 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 23,000$12,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,379.88 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Kings | 44c | 20,455$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kings | 45c | 20,000$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,900 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Golden Knights | 54c | 20,000$10,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,099.97 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kings | 44c | 20,000$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,899.96 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 43c | 15,779$6,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,784.9 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Kings | 1c | 15,768$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.98 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 55c | 13,789$7,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,214.64 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Golden Knights | 55c | 13,200$7,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 12,222$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.12 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Golden Knights | 56c | 12,000$6,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,340 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Golden Knights | 56c | 11,023$6,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850.13 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Kings | 46c | 11,000$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Kings | 44c | 10,880$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,778.48 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Kings | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Golden Knights | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Golden Knights | 54c | 10,000$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.99 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Kings | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.84 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 9,856$5,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,533.85 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b5…85d8backed Kings | 43c | 9,674$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Kings | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 41c | 8,268$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.95 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…4ecebacked Golden Knights | 57c | 7,407$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Kings | 45c | 7,067$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.17 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kings | 44c | 7,053$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.84 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kings | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Golden Knights | 55c | 6,648$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.41 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…8255backed Golden Knights | 54c | 6,605$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Golden Knights | 55c | 6,584$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.74 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 6,189$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.22 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings | 44c | 5,922$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.81 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 5,555$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.75 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kings | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Kings | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Kings | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 5,000$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.98 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Kings | 45c | 4,509$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.05 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Golden Knights | 56c | 4,200$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Golden Knights | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Golden Knights | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kings | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Kings | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights | 56c | 3,243$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.92 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Golden Knights | 56c | 3,120$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.8 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 11c | 3,007$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.39 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Kings | 45c | 3,000$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.03 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Kings | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 2c | 2,965$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Golden Knights | 56c | 2,919$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.22 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 44c | 2,867$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.42 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,818$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.1 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,802$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.85 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Golden Knights | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Golden Knights | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Golden Knights | 57c | 2,644$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.59 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Kings | 44c | 2,442$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.31 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kings | 5c | 2,415$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Golden Knights | 56c | 2,308$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.44 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Kings | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Golden Knights | 54c | 2,275$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.37 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…bb68backed Golden Knights | 57c | 2,267$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…3608backed Kings | 45c | 2,225$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Kings | 45c | 2,201$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Golden Knights | 58c | 2,160$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.2 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 45c | 2,149$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.67 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings | 8c | 2,117$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.16 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b65…2cf8backed Golden Knights | 56c | 2,057$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Kings | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -13.5wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Kings | 46c | 1,999$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.54 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…be93backed Kings | 44c | 1,965$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,835$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.04 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Kings | 7c | 1,827$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…f4b7backed Golden Knights | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1b…c091backed Kings | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…0e7fbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 38c | 1,732$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.28 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 64c | 1,709$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.74 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 17c | 1,679$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.96 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 16c | 1,636$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.61 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Kings | 45c | 1,563$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Kings vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kings vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.