TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd1e6…1dc1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
271
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Olympics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT8247.6%39 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,960
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,758Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,758
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,150
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$363.84
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,110.95
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,694.97
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.63
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,307Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,256.21
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,613Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,613.44
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,926Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$3,173.99
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,733.54
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,749
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,740
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,588
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$3,689.99
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$3,607.88
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,042Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$4,757.95
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,133.33
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,731.6
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,457
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$269.69
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,820Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,880
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,338Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,508.86
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,928Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$3,871.94
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,840Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$3,960
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT5552.7%29 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$3,300
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$4,200
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,301.45
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,116
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,524.99
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,154
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,627Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$3,817.88
Jets vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,046
Avalanche vs. Stars: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,872Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$1,429.56
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,833.74
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,457.86
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$3,780
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,081
Stars vs. Bruinsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,266
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$6,050
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,769Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,768.64
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,449Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,701
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,187
Hurricanes vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,339.42
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$845.1
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,602Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,247.98
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,845Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$4,563.11
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,982Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,981.98
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT5341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,610
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,762.05
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$4,449.55
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,065Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$6,115.74
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,781Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,924.81
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,699.86
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,563Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$6,442.91
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,387Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,890.45
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,380.13
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,950
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-5.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,390.99
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-10.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,920.69
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-11.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,290.42
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,407Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,222.02
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 130.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,984Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,984.36
Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.73
Spread: Houston Cougars (-23.5)backed Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,950
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,974Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,973.75
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,097.11
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.13
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-10.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,870.45
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,141.13
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-7.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,145.85
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,289.79
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,371.39
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gilbert Burns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.15
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Melissa Croden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,544Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,314.96
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Gokhan Saricam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.15
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jamey-Lyn Horth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.16
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$713Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,587
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,200
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Loopy Godínez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,172.99
UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Francisco Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,145.98
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Estevam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,936.17
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,741Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,127.4
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Dione Barbosa (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Melissa Gatto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.49
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Amanda Lemos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$8,206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+56%+$4,594
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Ricky Turcios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,886Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,886
UFC 326: Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Sumudaerji · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,960Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$2,040.1
UFC 326: Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Diyar Nurgozhay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$1,463.99
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,622Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,978
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,009Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+143.9%+$2,890.98
UFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Gafurov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,632Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,632
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Klaudia Sygula (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cachoeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,968
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$4,200
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Malkoun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,565Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,935
UFC 325: Sangwook Kim vs. Dom Mar Fan (Lightweight, Early Prelims)backed Kim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
UFC 325: Sebastian Szalay vs. Keiichiro Nakamura (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Nakamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$165.82
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,398
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,304
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$7,200
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,055.96
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,776Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,775.83
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$79.59
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$238.49
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,397Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,453.5
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,396Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,395.64
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,455
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,060.78
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$686
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,839.64
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,086.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$48,196.53
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$47.58
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$5,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$5,040
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,894.72
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,703Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,702.7
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,960
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$588.81
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Women's Group A - Finland vs. Canadabacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$88.8
Women's Group A - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,920
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-72.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,510.15
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$935
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$5,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,136.22
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,700
BNP Paribas Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,140
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,002Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+143.9%+$5,758.4
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$550
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+398.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,016Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+398.6%+$4,048.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$913Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$912.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.