NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b729e25546dad2467f3a99904eace307b52646f79dbb6ee9fc771b1deb00ec4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $486,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,437 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 190,400$96,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,723.87 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 75,313$37,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,470.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 48c | 49,360$23,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,693.04 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 38,426$18,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,460.36 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Over | 51c | 38,043$19,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,641.13 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 50c | 25,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 49c | 23,443$11,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,487.07 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 11,518$5,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,680.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Under | 50c | 10,684$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.43 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed Over | 48c | 9,400$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…f99ebacked Under | 52c | 7,413$3,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…8643backed Under | 52c | 7,238$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…5895backed Over | 48c | 6,584$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 49c | 6,500$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.97 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 5,717$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 5,075$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.75 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 52c | 4,739$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.68 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc272…b0fcbacked Under | 52c | 4,615$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24c…2495backed Over | 48c | 4,488$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4095…d51dbacked Under | 52c | 4,343$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcedc…2482backed Under | 52c | 4,323$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0177…7a19backed Under | 52c | 4,201$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03a7…dcebbacked Under | 52c | 4,156$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x247b…9fe4backed Over | 48c | 4,055$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038d…46e1backed Under | 52c | 4,011$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…32c8backed Under | 49c | 3,922$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…6f69backed Under | 52c | 3,888$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4416…c5afbacked Under | 52c | 3,877$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…4796backed Under | 52c | 3,856$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd358…f8b3backed Under | 52c | 3,822$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…8534backed Under | 52c | 3,818$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfd…653cbacked Over | 48c | 3,788$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…ade0backed Over | 48c | 3,726$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…a8f5backed Under | 52c | 3,588$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe359…00aabacked Over | 48c | 3,555$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…d9d6backed Under | 52c | 3,533$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066c…7dbbbacked Under | 52c | 3,456$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1983backed Over | 48c | 3,455$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…dec7backed Under | 52c | 3,432$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…f694backed Under | 52c | 3,311$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb7…a635backed Under | 52c | 3,289$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…0620backed Under | 52c | 3,282$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd203…d653backed Over | 48c | 3,144$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…ef2abacked Under | 52c | 3,131$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c3…ef1fbacked Under | 52c | 3,051$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Over | 52c | 3,028$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.44 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…7994backed Under | 52c | 3,015$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab7…b462backed Over | 48c | 2,988$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af6…e8aabacked Under | 52c | 2,844$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7d…0897backed Under | 52c | 2,835$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3567…d2f8backed Under | 52c | 2,828$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30e…fb0cbacked Under | 52c | 2,818$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…a652backed Over | 48c | 2,813$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…1df2backed Under | 52c | 2,801$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…9908backed Under | 52c | 2,611$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…5722backed Over | 48c | 2,566$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…558dbacked Over | 48c | 2,425$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…db71backed Over | 48c | 2,366$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 2,356$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.25 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 2,344$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.07 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a3…8b71backed Under | 52c | 2,314$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9274…0990backed Over | 48c | 2,312$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 49c | 2,300$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2e…d534backed Over | 48c | 2,299$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 53c | 2,266$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b1…cd00backed Under | 52c | 2,245$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 2,224$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.66 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf118…69a9backed Under | 52c | 2,202$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cb6ebacked Under | 52c | 2,175$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…bcb5backed Over | 48c | 2,168$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac21…cd48backed Under | 52c | 2,155$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4909…dc0dbacked Over | 48c | 2,123$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb78…107abacked Over | 48c | 2,121$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…c28abacked Over | 48c | 2,121$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…4a91backed Over | 48c | 2,121$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…8679backed Over | 48c | 2,113$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x126a…1a2bbacked Over | 48c | 2,102$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…f681backed Over | 48c | 2,096$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe376…4b84backed Under | 52c | 2,088$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c6…ac2fbacked Over | 48c | 2,066$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 2,065$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…eb30backed Over | 48c | 2,055$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…5bacbacked Under | 52c | 2,050$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…e6e8backed Under | 51c | 2,035$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ba…3db5backed Over | 48c | 2,034$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…892ebacked Under | 52c | 1,987$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1e…9733backed Over | 48c | 1,966$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…90f5backed Over | 48c | 1,936$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd076…5914backed Over | 48c | 1,929$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0884…8351backed Over | 48c | 1,919$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…7cb3backed Over | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…4924backed Over | 48c | 1,899$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…d437backed Under | 52c | 1,899$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…d811backed Under | 52c | 1,891$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0404…03d8backed Over | 48c | 1,856$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c5…1abfbacked Under | 52c | 1,854$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Points O/U 8.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Pat Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Warriors vs. WizardsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.