NBA · resolved market

Spread: Warriors (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0889fecbbf2132f945812b7b48fb761143e5c52f3432a293b31338109e006cc4

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Wizardsof Warriors, Wizards
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $485,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,510 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Warriors	46c	338,427$155,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155,676.28	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards	64c	246,259$157,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89,186.32	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Wizards	54c	90,000$48,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,400	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3b…0230backed Warriors	2c	55,391$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.09	40	67.5%27 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards	54c	42,038$22,654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,383.69	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards	54c	10,470$5,654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,816.41	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Wizards	54c	3,333$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,533.18	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4941…df80backed Warriors	45c	2,755$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,239.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db8…171bbacked Warriors	45c	2,728$1,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,227.89	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards	54c	2,702$1,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc9…040cbacked Wizards	55c	2,456$1,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,105.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29ff…ea4bbacked Wizards	55c	2,422$1,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,089.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa400…9221backed Warriors	45c	2,322$1,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,044.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e58…c329backed Wizards	55c	2,302$1,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,035.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab20…1a36backed Warriors	45c	2,266$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec7a…a14abacked Wizards	55c	2,233$1,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,004.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc46d…cebabacked Wizards	54c	2,202$1,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,012.92	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e6…ed3abacked Warriors	45c	2,197$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x893c…39a9backed Wizards	55c	2,185$1,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$983.25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb383…8b63backed Wizards	54c	2,155$1,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$991.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…5287backed Warriors	45c	2,155$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39ef…0855backed Warriors	46c	2,155$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf03d…05b5backed Warriors	45c	2,122$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$954.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6bd…f9c0backed Warriors	45c	2,122$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$954.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe51b…fe78backed Wizards	54c	2,102$1,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$966.92	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa62…dda4backed Wizards	55c	2,082$1,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…65ebbacked Wizards	55c	2,033$1,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8536…3ffbbacked Warriors	46c	2,025$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x504b…b339backed Wizards	55c	2,022$1,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$909.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9a4…b1d4backed Warriors	46c	2,012$926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925.52	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fb…f011backed Wizards	54c	1,977$1,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$909.42	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc096…3a8dbacked Wizards	55c	1,955$1,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.75	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+99.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9915…3b76backed Wizards	55c	1,923$1,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$865.35	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e42…b2a8backed Warriors	45c	1,902$856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$855.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcab0…498cbacked Wizards	55c	1,902$1,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$855.9	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+83.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e96…c7f8backed Warriors	45c	1,866$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20d1…565cbacked Warriors	45c	1,855$835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$834.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7421…6854backed Wizards	55c	1,823$1,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce3…0875backed Warriors	45c	1,766$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x753f…c44fbacked Warriors	46c	1,722$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ec…c84fbacked Warriors	45c	1,702$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca4f…37f6backed Warriors	46c	1,699$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.54	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba3c…735cbacked Warriors	45c	1,633$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3480…b3d4backed Warriors	45c	1,632$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x802b…bf28backed Wizards	55c	1,623$893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$730.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f01…91d6backed Wizards	55c	1,602$881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.9	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+99.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Wizards	43c	1,580$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$895.54	182	35.7%65 W · 117 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20f…d496backed Wizards	55c	1,556$856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700.2	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+83.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55f0…9d30backed Warriors	45c	1,525$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed6…f497backed Wizards	55c	1,501$826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675.45	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd818…ee7dbacked Warriors	45c	1,483$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaf9…518abacked Wizards	55c	1,423$783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3c…82c2backed Wizards	54c	1,355$732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.3	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Wizards	55c	1,305$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.1	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfba…9370backed Wizards	55c	1,255$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.75	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Warriors	67c	1,022$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.52	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Wizards	55c	1,009$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.52	197	56.3%111 W · 86 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Warriors	54c	981.33$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.53	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors	45c	850.99$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.95	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Warriors	47c	758.74$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.61	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Warriors	66c	743$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.95	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors	46c	684.54$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.45	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Warriors	63c	634.81$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.42	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Warriors	45c	558.85$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.76	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Warriors	47c	477.7$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.13	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b6…19f0backed Warriors	46c	456$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Warriors	45c	441.92$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.87	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors	46c	435.24$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.21	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1071…e39ebacked Wizards	13c	393.65$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.16	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.13per pick	12cpaid	+70.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Wizards	55c	386$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.8	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Wizards	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Wizards	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Warriors	59c	355.93$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	182	42.9%78 W · 104 L	-10.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards	39c	319.98$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.46	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e35…6b83backed Wizards	54c	278$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Wizards	54c	275$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.5	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef29…12d0backed Warriors	45c	266.6$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Warriors	48c	258.27$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.5	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Warriors	5c	238.01$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.38	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Wizards	55c	232.42$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.94	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Warriors	46c	213.04$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Wizards	50c	200.6$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.6	378	52.9%200 W · 178 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Wizards	33c	200$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134	448	21.4%96 W · 352 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Warriors	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	502	39%196 W · 306 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Warriors	45c	199.96$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.98	125	40%50 W · 75 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Wizards	48c	193.28$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.31	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards	54c	181.67$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.57	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards	52c	179.36$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.91	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Wizards	55c	174.55$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.55	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Wizards	55c	154.55$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.55	92	60.9%56 W · 36 L	+10.3wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Warriors	45c	123.93$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.7	176	43.2%76 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Warriors	46c	122.39$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.3	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9683…108bbacked Warriors	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Warriors	51c	108.69$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.07	399	43.1%172 W · 227 L	-17.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Warriors	46c	108.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards	51c	106.62$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.11	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Wizards	43c	102.54$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.6	421	53%223 W · 198 L	+23.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Warriors	47c	100.01$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.34	213	49.3%105 W · 108 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Wizards	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	232	46.1%107 W · 125 L	+7.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Wizards	55c	99.35$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.35	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Warriors (-8.5)this page
1H Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Bub Carrington: Points O/U 8.5No won
De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Pat Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Tre Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Warriors vs. WizardsWarriors won
Warriors vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
Warriors vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Over won
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Over won
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Warriors (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event