NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x366f48b6446d56acb4ffe409471ffa806707f8cd1a2a418b558c79dedec4443e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,158 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 195,138$103,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,787.22 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 175,705$82,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,258.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 57,216$26,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,147.01 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 53c | 49,528$26,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,287.3 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Over | 53c | 28,858$15,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,563.48 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 47c | 25,000$11,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,650 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 15,843$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,203.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 10,145$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,971.03 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.92 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 6,186$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.26 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 5,382$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.7 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 4,657$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa356…4a82backed Over | 50c | 4,511$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…4a56backed Over | 50c | 4,010$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb7…3f4bbacked Over | 50c | 3,606$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.51 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 3,137$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 55c | 2,894$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 2,858$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.26 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ba…dad4backed Over | 50c | 2,812$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 46c | 2,519$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.9 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6eb…75dcbacked Under | 49c | 2,466$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…a6aabacked Under | 49c | 2,458$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 2,455$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.95 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc5…d1f5backed Over | 51c | 2,455$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615c…b09dbacked Under | 50c | 2,415$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12c…251ebacked Over | 51c | 2,366$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a60…6a31backed Under | 49c | 2,333$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…2dbbbacked Over | 51c | 2,236$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 2,230$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.47 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…3251backed Under | 50c | 2,121$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 48c | 2,080$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.4 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9601…a924backed Under | 50c | 2,066$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Over | 52c | 2,049$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.66 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 49c | 2,025$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.13 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…6189backed Under | 50c | 2,001$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…b843backed Under | 50c | 1,822$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…590abacked Over | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 1,753$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.61 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…512abacked Under | 50c | 1,623$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,571$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.71 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bf…3659backed Under | 49c | 1,540$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…525fbacked Under | 50c | 1,477$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9649…5b0ebacked Under | 50c | 1,414$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 1,158$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.7 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 1,119$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.12 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 45c | 1,114$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.3 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.98 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Under | 46c | 946.75$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.51 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Over | 54c | 901$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 48c | 895.83$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 788.98$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.15 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 48c | 760$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 46c | 734.15$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.97 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 710.59$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.82 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 37c | 707.5$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.34 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 45c | 661.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 660.95$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Under | 47c | 582.98$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8322…b5fbbacked Under | 48c | 489.58$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 48c | 480$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Over | 59c | 355.93$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.93 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 56c | 330.71$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.04 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 48c | 319.75$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 47c | 296$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.12 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…09c1backed Under | 47c | 295.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 75c | 292.19$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 55c | 291.43$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Over | 54c | 280$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.74 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 53c | 246.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.76 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 55c | 237.27$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 74c | 224.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 59c | 219.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…0b37backed Under | 50c | 214$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Under | 46c | 212.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Under | 45c | 210.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…9d70backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 48c | 204.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 203.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 18c | 202.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 54c | 191.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 176$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d4…578bbacked Under | 49c | 166$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 17c | 164.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Under | 11c | 164.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 160.25$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…022dbacked Under | 50c | 156.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4678…8f73backed Under | 49c | 155$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Points O/U 8.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Pat Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Warriors vs. WizardsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.