NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfe41de376b3787b0908b43a814c2a4cbf3ba32d48fa94643b13eabc409dfcf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $666,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $666,251 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 50c | 346,625$173,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173,101.9 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 50c | 229,495$114,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,747.56 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 50c | 58,411$29,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,158.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Warriors | 50c | 45,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,500 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 50c | 30,624$15,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,359.7 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors | 50c | 29,410$14,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,705.1 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 49c | 17,791$8,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,073.2 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Warriors | 51c | 13,590$6,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,659.1 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 50c | 13,318$6,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,658.67 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Wizards | 51c | 12,157$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Wizards | 51c | 11,645$5,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,939 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Wizards | 50c | 11,441$5,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720.5 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Wizards | 50c | 8,962$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…ebf1backed Wizards | 50c | 8,800$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…f0c4backed Warriors | 51c | 8,700$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +8.8wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Wizards | 50c | 8,149$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.02 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Warriors | 50c | 8,036$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.6 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…c3f2backed Wizards | 51c | 6,588$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Wizards | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards | 52c | 5,770$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Wizards | 51c | 5,686$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Warriors | 50c | 5,220$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Wizards | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af4…0e00backed Wizards | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Wizards | 51c | 3,870$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.17 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…eea6backed Wizards | 50c | 3,765$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards | 50c | 3,500$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Wizards | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…67d5backed Wizards | 50c | 3,255$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…b8d8backed Wizards | 50c | 3,255$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ca…3308backed Wizards | 51c | 2,982$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…ec33backed Warriors | 49c | 2,968$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Warriors | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Warriors | 50c | 2,933$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.41 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…d871backed Wizards | 51c | 2,925$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…7c74backed Warriors | 49c | 2,896$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…e91dbacked Wizards | 51c | 2,807$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…33afbacked Warriors | 49c | 2,784$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…9ca7backed Wizards | 51c | 2,776$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…dc6cbacked Warriors | 49c | 2,708$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 50c | 2,704$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.47 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26d…91a4backed Warriors | 49c | 2,696$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885d…a0a8backed Wizards | 51c | 2,694$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Warriors | 51c | 2,688$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.12 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b4…cf29backed Warriors | 49c | 2,687$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd603…71a2backed Wizards | 51c | 2,555$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc883…5144backed Warriors | 49c | 2,554$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wizards | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107e…9560backed Warriors | 49c | 2,484$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7f…cccebacked Wizards | 51c | 2,425$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…54ffbacked Warriors | 50c | 2,366$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb641…60a4backed Wizards | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b89…2f57backed Warriors | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Warriors | 50c | 2,174$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7f…e354backed Warriors | 49c | 2,124$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c57…0ac9backed Wizards | 51c | 2,055$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 63c | 2,041$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.15 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0226…6a29backed Warriors | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…e197backed Warriors | 49c | 2,012$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…1bf7backed Wizards | 51c | 2,002$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Warriors | 50c | 1,980$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.78 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,977$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.3 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Wizards | 18c | 1,957$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.19 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…b06bbacked Wizards | 51c | 1,956$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 50c | 1,934$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.98 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0929…d6acbacked Wizards | 51c | 1,924$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…23dabacked Wizards | 51c | 1,901$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…1098backed Warriors | 50c | 1,823$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…4b4ebacked Warriors | 50c | 1,818$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Wizards | 51c | 1,763$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b9…2f56backed Wizards | 51c | 1,755$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 48c | 1,642$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…2ecabacked Wizards | 51c | 1,621$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…76f0backed Warriors | 49c | 1,616$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…bb57backed Warriors | 49c | 1,606$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…0af8backed Warriors | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bb…c3aabacked Warriors | 50c | 1,578$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db6…b2ebbacked Wizards | 51c | 1,566$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 73c | 1,540$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fb…241cbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,487$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 43c | 1,475$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.76 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…e9efbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,401$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Wizards | 51c | 1,385$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.54 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors | 51c | 1,339$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.11 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0f…ecddbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,321$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Wizards | 51c | 1,312$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.89 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Wizards | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 51c | 1,261$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.26 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 59c | 1,251$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.92 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f3…949ebacked Warriors | 49c | 1,238$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b8…aa26backed Wizards | 51c | 1,221$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…1277backed Warriors | 49c | 1,178$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 50c | 1,176$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.43 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wizards | 50c | 1,146$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…4a9ebacked Warriors | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,018$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Points O/U 8.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Pat Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Warriors vs. WizardsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.