TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4244…03a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
329
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 60 out of 100; worst Asian League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT18349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 183 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,934.78
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,882.35
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$312.24
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,925
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$636.36
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,820
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,925
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,384.62
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,900
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,870.83
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,173.91
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,762.77
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,914.29
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,862.24
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,900
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,257.07
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800
Showing 25 of 183 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$433.33
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Inter Miami CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$398.05
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,300
Philadelphia Union vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,770
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$76.46
Chicago Fire FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$575.61
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,786.27
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
CF Montréal vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)backed Los Angeles FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$500.73
Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$292.16
Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,047Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,826.27
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+137.3%+$2,746.03
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,816.67
Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$2,866.26
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,061
Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Atlanta United FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,727.47
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Peru win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,000
Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$537.9
Netherlands vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,850
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800
Cyprus vs. Moldova: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Hungary vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$301.75
Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$126.91
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$106.14
San Marino vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$477.13
Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Italy vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$281.25
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,820
Italy vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Vietnam (-2.5)backed Vietnam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$90.21
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,127.66
Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.36
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$705.89
Stoke City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$382.49
Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.4
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,000
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,846.15
Leicester City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Coventry City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$549
All 16 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: NEC (-1.5)backed Go Ahead Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Konyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$514.45
IK Start vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$414.29
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.76
Fortuna Sittard vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$563.83
Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$107.95
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
NAC Breda vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$306.42
SC Heerenveen vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will NEC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800
SK Brann vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,810.2
Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Eyüpspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,582.61
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,773.58
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$2,617.29
RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,000
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,958
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$900
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,935Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,271.76
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,934
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,550.47
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$973.6
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,538Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,538.5
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$851.85
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$87.06
Vissel Kōbe vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,027
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Paranaense vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,260
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)backed Club Tijuana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,909.09
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$860.97
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)backed Atlético San Luis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$99.63
Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Will CF América win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
SE Palmeiras vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,602Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,830.39
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,702Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,792.71
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$266.58
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.58
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,599
CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,800
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,958Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,802.78
CD Mirandés vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,564.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,786.27
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$547.74
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$424.64
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,758Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,757.69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,960
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+58.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.38
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,893.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,272.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.