TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Leicester City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,626 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac75…1319backed Over49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.983036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Over49c12,000$5,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,119.991020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under51c10,980$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6006567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xcde4…91b3backed Under51c10,151$5,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,177250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.9613444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c8,124$3,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,984.4317557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Under51c5,924$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,021966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.9750644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191a…9d0dbacked Over51c4,510$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c4,361$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.8951750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under51c2,984$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.645455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under51c2,816$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4365560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Over51c2,763$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.75955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c1,301$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.271,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over79c1,261$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0542240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c1,260$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.116,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under24c1,157$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.64,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5507250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.144751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Under51c733.33$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3742860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c660.75$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.412,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Over49c509.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.091764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25526651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14730149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under50c268.6$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.383459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c202.4$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.452,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7123…59b9backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1215772%113 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under50c146.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.210750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed Over50c131.7$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.851442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under44c129.69$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5136554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over50c128.52$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.266344.4%28 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.51,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under50c115$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c113.8$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.910949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa413…1fe0backed Over46c103.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5459645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over49c98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.987440.5%30 W · 44 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under50c90.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3913662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4532357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.812050%60 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3527846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfca…2db8backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Over50c54.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.151225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.028048.8%39 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Under51c48.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.641361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under49c46.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.61,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under51c43.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9522335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016544.2%73 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.228263.4%52 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over50c37.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.863946.2%18 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1829644.6%132 W · 164 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2ff…6530backed Over50c34.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13b4…f41abacked Under51c31.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under50c26.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.331,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed Over50c25.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.531838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.525553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.526959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.522858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.87558.7%44 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105664.3%36 W · 20 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.