TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x48e2…2a5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
525
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Mls at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT17550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 175 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,000
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,113.63
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,683Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,682.93
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,282Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,231.47
Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,188.5
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,993.49
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,683Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,141.86
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,328Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,995.03
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,190.73
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.51
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,602.28
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,307.43
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,915.99
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,407Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,825.42
Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,383.73
Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$59.76
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$7,145.99
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,472Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,078.6
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$8,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,515.6
Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,565Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$7,873.78
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,896Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,743.24
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$648.16
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,005Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,778.11
Spread: Raptors (-12.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,081.63
Showing 25 of 175 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT5455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,717.33
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,717Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,716.76
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,489Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,143.98
Bristol City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$717.86
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,513Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,874.57
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$729.4
Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$243.12
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,654Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,588.78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$855.24
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,406.24
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,022Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,022
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.12
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.12
Birmingham City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,371.09
Leicester City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,521.64
Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$268.25
Birmingham City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,978Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,594.76
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.65
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$6,599.19
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.38
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,286.85
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Mansfield Town FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,434Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$3,627.97
Preston North End FC vs. Oxford United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$3,888.89
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$607.63
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$4,120.72
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT4845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will América de Cali win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$453.24
CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,541.52
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,465Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$5,034.63
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,004Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$6,504.8
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,243.44
EC Vitória vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.17
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,975.21
Fluminense FC vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$560.19
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,022.94
EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$651.87
EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,713Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,712.67
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,630.85
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,607.93
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.09
Will Santos FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,439.31
Will Club León FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
EC Vitória vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$772.25
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.7
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,032.49
Clube do Remo vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,416Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$4,113.48
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700.1
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,435.49
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)backed Atlético San Luis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,902.29
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT4353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.21
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$199
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,706Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$4,131.63
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,608.02
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Will FC København win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,591Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$1,408.62
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.16
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.6
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$589.29
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$762.6
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,434Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,173.24
Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,503Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,444.52
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$878.74
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$221.02
Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,452Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$8,120.58
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$717.74
Samsunspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$789.56
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$472.75
Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,842Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,730.81
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$960.34
FC Twente '65 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$263.54
Rangers FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$871Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$870.99
NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,438.94
NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$723.6
Göztepe SK vs. Eyüpspor: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,722Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+79.8%+$2,173.61
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,934.78
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,391.32
Will Granada CF win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,428.7
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.32
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,434Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$4,327.98
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,051.93
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,951Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$3,464.6
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,444.6
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,442.67
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,162.04
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+257.1%+$3,616.05
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,607Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$2,306.14
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,656.79
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$652.66
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,440.37
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,607Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$1,466.58
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,272Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$2,901.7
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,354.28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$162.88
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,777.22
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,357Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$6,019.07
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Valladolid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,099.75
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$701.05
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,815Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+133.4%+$3,754.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+262.5%+$13,831.31
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,445Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,135.04
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,524Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,523.86
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,594.65
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.2
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,554.17
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,813.25
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,287.43
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,455Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,606.68
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$816.55
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,541Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,170.24
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,935.46
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,987.6
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,081Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$1,432.98
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,641.04
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,654Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,588.78
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$30.25
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$4,058.8
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$1,440.29
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,012Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$3,992.72
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.51
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,029.6
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$850
RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170
Holstein Kiel vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$800
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$302
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,335.49
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.35
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$832.29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,396Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,597.55
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$5,293.83
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,429Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,805.22
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,460.46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,879Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,172.22
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,716.64
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$543.51
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$7,646.47
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,381Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,587.23
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$159.96
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$2,871.79
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,232Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$12,231.72
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,709Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+122.2%+$5,754.9
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,952Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,472.25
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,552.46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$6,132.15
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,151.54
All 22 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Mls — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,931Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,931.46
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,762.48
Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.98
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,493.35
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,026.32
Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,001.31
Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$874Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$874.36
St. Louis City SC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,546Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,031.24
Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,843Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,731.26
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,909Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,579.28
New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,759Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$7,384.46
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,833Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,832.56
Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,406Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,941.05
Atlanta United FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.82
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,927.96
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,195.74
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,398.98
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,197.83
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,856.55
Orlando City SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.4
D.C. United SC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+117.4%+$14.74
All 21 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,760
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,079.6
FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$907.04
ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.88
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$178.36
Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,871.65
NK Celje vs. AEK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,005.74
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,655.84
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.37
Will AZ win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,559Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,382.1
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,655.52
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,756Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+156.4%+$4,310.73
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$273.24
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,298.57
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,523Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$5,748.54
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$576
Will AZ win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$483.65
HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$259.82
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,354Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+122.2%+$2,877.45
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,286.22
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,695.8
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.64
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,194.8
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$55.2
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IstabuLAN Playoffsbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+117.5%+$153.86
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$279
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Alliance (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffsbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$202.76
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$290.19
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Fingers Crossed (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked Fingers Crossed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$343.62
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+207.6%+$2,555.94
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,541Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,422.66
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,431.37
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,452.89
SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,523Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$6,759.36
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,022.09
ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,033Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,032.92
Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$401.36
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$298.34
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,145.95
Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,722Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,722.01
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$503.1
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$833.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$142.51
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300.53
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,518Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,345.94
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,905Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$8,244.6
Algeria vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.54
San Marino vs. Andorra: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$163.61
Cyprus vs. Moldova: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.47
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,193.96
Senegal vs. Peru: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$553.58
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,752Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,751.69
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,719.47
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,287.4
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,236.6
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked Meavedron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$144.4
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$670.36
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$143.79
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+334.8%+$440.61
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,457Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$7,346
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs S2G Esports (BO3) - TCL Playoffsbacked S2G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+122.2%+$170.14
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,384Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$2,768.4
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,919.39
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$423.94
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,880.58
OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,713Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,712.95
FC Metz vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$97.97
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,707Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,172.58
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,925.2
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$3,330.01
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$173.59
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,959Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,959.12
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$479.77
Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$7,414.88
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,504
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.85
BC Dubai vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.17
Saski Baskonia vs. Paris Basketballbacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$435.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$595.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Punahele Soriano (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ramiz Brahimaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$828.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.