TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$301,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,590 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Over47c100,000$47,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,999.933250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under53c27,404$14,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,524.122356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Under52c27,036$14,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,172.871250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c24,999$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.511643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c20,089$10,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,881.13,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Under53c18,868$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under53c16,038$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5003839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c13,969$6,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,403.3452243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c12,294$5,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,496.7738247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under53c10,671$5,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,655.522050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under53c9,915$5,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,240250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under53c9,438$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under53c7,547$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under53c6,670$3,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,535.092560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under53c4,772$2,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.161154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e5…8b41backed Under53c4,695$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Under53c4,521$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,39610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over49c4,519$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.521457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over48c4,300$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.995653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c4,023$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.162,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c4,000$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.133349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under53c2,839$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.54254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under53c2,830$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under51c2,528$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.06933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1038…fd48backed Over47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb96e…b3a2backed Under53c2,079$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over47c2,060$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.8742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under52c2,016$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.291050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over49c1,777$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.882259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c1,583$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.655545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Under44c1,573$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.031533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1c0…1f1cbacked Under53c1,513$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over47c1,476$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.523461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9394…4e1cbacked Under54c1,194$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over49c1,017$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.372330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95b2…5481backed Under54c900$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over48c883.01$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.24353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8144…1e1dbacked Over47c880$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over47c874.2$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.25545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1116…fe49backed Over47c870$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551f…2fa0backed Under54c850$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over47c810.53$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Over47c786.29$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.921442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c700.31$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over48c700$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.75856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over48c697.97$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.641145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under48c661.36$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.451942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Over48c626.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.31020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3254634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3185856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over46c599.95$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.976558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over72c580.88$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.923461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over43c579.28$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.194528.9%13 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over50c578.98$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.495540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over48c561.31$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.586056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under54c560.06$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6821835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Over70c530.93$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.385371.7%38 W · 15 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c499.98$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9918049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over51c486$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.361,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.534158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2419…1e60backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.53520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over48c418.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.242330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8123…9041backed Over49c411.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.167054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under52c393.52$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.631844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Over51c391.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.073522.9%8 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over49c363.93$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.934141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0add…1aa6backed Over44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over48c340.68$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.614663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Over48c337.5$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over46c320.68$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.173145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over50c318$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15912545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Over48c313.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1211449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over51c221$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8513040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over47c220$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.65554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3469…3676backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.261723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over48c208.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.775464.8%35 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb71c…9fc7backed Over53c207.21$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over47c202.56$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1105366%35 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…42a7backed Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.819546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over47c170.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.219222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over47c164.18$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.184151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over47c162.05$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.051361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+55.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.52254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over71c147.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6514963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over49c147.64$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0816543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over47c144.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9917447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.