Europa Conference League · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb73a3c34a7ad562e7f4311046ddb839600ddcd6e68fd8cf936ed7d92e8c3bed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,311 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 22,719$10,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,354.28 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 8,838$4,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.92 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 50c | 7,777$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.5 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 79c | 6,000$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,739.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 76c | 4,217$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 24c | 2,043$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.52 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Over | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 26c | 1,400$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 25c | 1,250$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.97 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 38c | 1,191$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.38 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 46c | 896.78$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.61 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 843.83$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.96 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 21c | 828.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.08 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 75c | 795.93$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.98 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 25c | 769.63$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.41 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 14c | 718.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 12c | 711.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 51c | 588.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 29c | 499.76$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.73 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 26c | 473.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 13c | 466.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 30c | 382.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Under | 59c | 373.84$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.02 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 14c | 355.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 71c | 253.52$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 42c | 239.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Over | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 9c | 222$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 23c | 219.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Under | 66c | 208.61$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 62c | 199.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 37c | 197.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Over | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Over | 26c | 193.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 27c | 189.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 44c | 180$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 27c | 179.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 38c | 164.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed Over | 7c | 157.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 79c | 154.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under | 70c | 154$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c870backed Over | 23c | 152.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 51c | 146.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 142.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 52c | 137$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…0488backed Under | 57c | 132.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Over | 26c | 123$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Over | 26c | 117.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 43c | 117.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 78c | 117$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Over | 12c | 114.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Under | 21c | 105$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 56c | 104.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 75c | 101.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Over | 54c | 92.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 75c | 87.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 26c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…af5dbacked Over | 25c | 81.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 26c | 80.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 30c | 79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…21f5backed Under | 75c | 78.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 50c | 77.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…1417backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 74c | 76.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 67c | 71.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 72c | 68.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 42c | 68.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 18c | 67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 27c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 56c | 61.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 50c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Over | 26c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…0412backed Over | 28c | 49.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…1ab3backed Over | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Over | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6f…2715backed Under | 45c | 41.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)FC Porto won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.