TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,311

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,311 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c22,719$10,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,354.283,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c8,838$4,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,666.922,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over50c7,777$3,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,888.57554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over79c6,000$4,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,739.981435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-42.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under76c4,217$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.472065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over24c2,043$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5238247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Over30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over26c1,400$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over25c1,250$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.976033.3%20 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over38c1,191$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.3821835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over46c896.78$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.6135944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c843.83$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.9676941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over21c828.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.083050%15 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under75c795.93$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.982369.6%16 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over25c769.63$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4143344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over14c718.57$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.62330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over12c711.68$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9813040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over51c588.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.993256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over29c499.76$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.731,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over26c473.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.261,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over13c466.14$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1878344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1164131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Over41c399.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1642548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Over30c382.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.93522.9%8 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Under59c373.84$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.021533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over14c355.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9321243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Under75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.675464.8%35 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over71c253.52$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over42c239.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-68.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Over30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702412.5%3 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Over9c222$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.871216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under23c219.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.71457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Under66c208.61$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.59475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Over29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under10c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802222.7%5 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+87.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under74c199.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over62c199.69$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over37c197.41$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.041225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Over51c196.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.71947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Over26c193.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015224.3%37 W · 115 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over27c189.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1816543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over44c180$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.022425%6 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-53.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over27c179.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6219546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under38c164.8$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9617956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc73b…c3e9backed Over7c157.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.092035%7 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over79c154.93$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.34944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under70c154$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ecf…c870backed Over23c152.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over51c146.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-69.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c142.68$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.652243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under52c137$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.997751.9%40 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66bf…0488backed Under57c132.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Over26c123$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+59.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Over26c117.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.594841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over43c117.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2217958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over78c117$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2610061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed Over12c114.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.761428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505042%21 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under21c105$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.22317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under56c104.25$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6317835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under75c101.13$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.636056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Over26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c38…3d15backed Over54c92.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under75c87.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.074663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over26c86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.369644.8%43 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Over35c82.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293321.2%7 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae3…af5dbacked Over25c81.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over26c80.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217028.6%20 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over30c79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.78047.5%38 W · 42 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc895…21f5backed Under75c78.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over50c77.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.882060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b8…1417backed Over26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under74c76.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209354.8%51 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over67c71.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.71526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.29per pick56cpaid-49.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under72c68.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.973354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over42c68.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9617855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over18c67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.047859%46 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over27c62.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174710.6%5 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over27c62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.464353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over56c61.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.327842.3%33 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over50c61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.433036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Over26c51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.262128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1315459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f62…0412backed Over28c49.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e92…1ab3backed Over30c46.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over26c46.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129740.2%39 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Over26c42.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f6f…2715backed Under45c41.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.