TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x00fa…9af5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
480
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 61 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12856.3%72 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$123.5
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.35
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$38.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$53.63
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$62.7
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$20.83
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.4
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$62
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.75
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.13
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT9561.1%58 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.99
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$179.32
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$65.1
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$66.52
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$21.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.6
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.4
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$23.53
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.83
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$48.45
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.59
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.2
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.92
Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.5
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT8757.5%50 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$564
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$83.2
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.51
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.47
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$69.65
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.5
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+318.7%+$65.5
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+270.4%+$131.4
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.5%+$22.44
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$41.13
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.3
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.65
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.9
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+48.1%+$13
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT6860.3%41 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.9
Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$8
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.09
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$17.19
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.55
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$5.97
Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$16.51
Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.28
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$14.92
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$16.77
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.32
Pisa SC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$7.56
Spread: Pisa SC (-2.5)backed Pisa SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.45
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$14
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$231
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.09
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.7
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.85
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.55
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.09
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.94
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+38.9%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+171.7%+$158
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$56.6
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$38.5
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.9%+$44.1
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+376.2%+$158
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Ranger FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+57.7%+$36.6
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+40.2%+$34.4
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.7
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+170.3%+$63
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.29
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$52.8
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-6.1wins-0.36per pick65cpaid-49.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.6
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed 1. FC Union Berlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$91.85
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+140%+$17.5
FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Dabrowski/Stefanibacked Dabrowski/Stefani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Swiss Open, Qualification: Dylan Dietrich vs Thiago Monteirobacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Trieste: Matej Dodig vs Hugo Dellienbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Francesco Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.6
Swedish Open, Qualification: Gonzalo Bueno vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondesbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.2
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$216
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.53
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+34%+$127
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.59
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$4.54
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+54%+$18.16
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$7.6
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$46.27
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$264
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.