NBA · resolved market
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e0d45d7fc80923f915e478f9da7674b5b9e84368281ba5656f00039e0474042
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2214…5968backed No | 74c | 19,656$14,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,014.53 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…69bbbacked Yes | 27c | 15,155$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,091.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…f20bbacked No | 77c | 5,830$4,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d2…5268backed Yes | 20c | 5,400$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed Yes | 21c | 4,920$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4e…65ddbacked Yes | 24c | 4,424$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Yes | 21c | 4,000$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.77 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…71cebacked Yes | 39c | 2,990$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,920$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…81d5backed Yes | 20c | 2,750$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.76 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Yes | 2c | 2,292$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed No | 62c | 1,872$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.07 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…ffd2backed Yes | 32c | 1,696$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.59 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…5ea2backed No | 72c | 1,454$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…9948backed Yes | 18c | 1,318$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6938…e766backed Yes | 38c | 1,289$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…aaedbacked Yes | 26c | 1,191$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ba…ba1dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,097$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Yes | 8c | 1,044$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,035$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…fe19backed Yes | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Yes | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.95 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked No | 78c | 999.96$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 21c | 949.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…3913backed Yes | 5c | 931.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 900.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 28c | 891.87$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 22c | 827.16$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.24 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Yes | 16c | 822$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 148 | 30.4%45 W · 103 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784c…c6febacked Yes | 21c | 785.05$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked No | 67c | 742.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.74 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 3c | 714.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 79c | 680$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 26c | 622.72$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…d613backed Yes | 18c | 619.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 610.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 602.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…3dafbacked No | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 2c | 595.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…83a0backed Yes | 7c | 592.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…45a8backed Yes | 20c | 578.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd9…7f57backed Yes | 30c | 560$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed No | 77c | 536$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.43 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…5243backed Yes | 28c | 502.67$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.67 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…6a63backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 20c | 495.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e013backed Yes | 32c | 468.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 19c | 461.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…f2ddbacked Yes | 36c | 450.45$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86db…e44dbacked Yes | 19c | 413.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 4c | 405$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…84ebbacked Yes | 24c | 404.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked Yes | 33c | 400$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…b785backed Yes | 27c | 374.66$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba44…b067backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce1…ab8abacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…74b2backed Yes | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 9c | 308.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ed…6609backed Yes | 19c | 300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Yes | 36c | 280.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…995ebacked Yes | 36c | 278.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed Yes | 14c | 252.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 65c | 225$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 79c | 224.64$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbb…77eebacked Yes | 26c | 214.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 36c | 204.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…2dddbacked Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +70%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…4f06backed Yes | 25c | 198$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 72c | 192.97$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Yes | 29c | 181.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2896…bc73backed Yes | 33c | 174.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Yes | 24c | 171.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Yes | 30c | 166$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked No | 68c | 162.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37fd…a3c1backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…7518backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…6abebacked Yes | 21c | 148.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…0e88backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…83a4backed Yes | 30c | 134.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Yes | 38c | 134.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…31d7backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +366.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf563…a5b4backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Yes | 18c | 112.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…e279backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…2854backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…701fbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…32f3backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 25c | 99.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9860…c343backed Yes | 30c | 92.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 19c | 87.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…8acbbacked Yes | 31c | 81.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Yes | 25c | 81.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.