TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8328…0a5c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
505
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT36842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 368 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+338.8%+$394.17
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.51
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.62
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$173.05
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$305.67
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.08
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$200.13
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$169.42
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+207.9%+$102.33
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$63.32
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$71.12
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$100.88
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$101.54
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$143.97
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.91
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.22
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.23
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Showing 25 of 368 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9440.4%38 W · 56 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$42.79
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.69
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.22
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$34.75
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.18
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$34.06
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.33
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$46
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.15
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$55.71
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.49
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.03
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$303.26
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+179.1%+$214.89
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+87.5%+$149.49
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$318.16
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$131.65
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.96
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$89.62
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+150%+$149.91
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$86.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.