MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa142196ac463f86498faac5e5437b61b5121dcdd1667cdb5d0fadc013dc19332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Under | 48c | 29,906$14,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,354.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 52c | 15,544$8,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,436.41 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Over | 56c | 11,817$6,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,254.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 9,883$5,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.11 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 9,798$4,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.4 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Over | 56c | 3,494$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.02 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 53c | 3,340$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.99 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 2,594$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.7 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.99 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 53c | 2,159$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.89 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 57c | 1,133$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.3 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 52c | 1,105$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.81 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 44c | 943.14$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.98 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 792.22$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.22 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 52c | 746.36$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.25 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 47c | 681.39$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.18 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 74c | 675.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 47c | 635.87$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.86 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 26c | 630.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.93 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 44c | 507.29$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.21 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 45c | 411.02$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 379.74$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.27 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 332.26$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.75 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 311.93$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.81 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 280.18$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153e…45febacked Under | 48c | 279.01$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f33…4e00backed Under | 48c | 279.01$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 47c | 254.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.61 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 247.39$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 233.23$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 51c | 231.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.6 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 53c | 210.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 44c | 179.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Over | 56c | 173.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 52c | 159.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 30c | 152.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 53c | 148.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 135.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 15c | 132.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 56c | 121.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked Under | 48c | 121.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 53c | 114.86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…7579backed Under | 48c | 114.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 99.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 98.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Over | 56c | 95.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 44c | 94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 26c | 85.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 44c | 74.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 48c | 72.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 44c | 68.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 54c | 64.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 30c | 59.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…e149backed Under | 44c | 53.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 50c | 50.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Under | 45c | 45.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 43c | 44.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 44c | 42.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…a9dabacked Under | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Under | 48c | 40.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 45c | 40.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Under | 45c | 38.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Over | 52c | 37.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 37c | 36.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Over | 57c | 33.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 71c | 33.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb743…c116backed Under | 57c | 31.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 77c | 28.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84c…efd5backed Under | 44c | 27.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…6d7bbacked Over | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 26.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 46c | 26.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…326cbacked Under | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…9a96backed Over | 56c | 22.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 55c | 20.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a73…de17backed Over | 56c | 19.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 54c | 18.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 13.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 15.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 16.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.