TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,893 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbcd…7ab2backed Under48c29,906$14,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,354.72728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over52c15,544$8,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,436.411,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Over56c11,817$6,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,254.753040%12 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c9,883$5,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,645.111,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under44c9,798$4,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.41,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Over56c3,494$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.023868.4%26 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over53c3,340$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.991,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c2,594$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.75,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.994454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over53c2,159$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.891,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over57c1,133$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.39045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over52c1,105$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.811,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under44c943.14$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.987343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c792.22$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.226,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over52c746.36$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2561947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under47c681.39$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.181,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over74c675.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6811540%46 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under47c635.87$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.8633852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under26c630.5$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.936936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under44c507.29$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2118553%98 W · 87 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over53c485.9$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3785952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Under44c439.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.286152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under45c411.02$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7965549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over52c379.74$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2792054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c332.26$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7567849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under45c311.93$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.812,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c280.18$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6829752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x153e…45febacked Under48c279.01$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f33…4e00backed Under48c279.01$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under47c254.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.612,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under44c247.39$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.121,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c233.23$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6277050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Over51c231.23$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.616453%87 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6419153.9%103 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over53c210.88$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1111450.9%58 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Under48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8819842.9%85 W · 113 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9611346.9%53 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under44c179.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.571,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6138353.8%206 W · 177 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Over56c173.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.52259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.56048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c159.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.791,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under30c152.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.15,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over53c148.69$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8824350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over52c135.63$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.165050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under15c132.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.459642.7%41 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over56c121.7$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5533547.5%159 W · 176 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked Under48c121.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.132433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over53c114.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.986355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…7579backed Under48c114.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.971241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c99.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5948339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c98.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.92,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3824backed Over56c95.62$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0710746.7%50 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under44c94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4328943.3%125 W · 164 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.614549%71 W · 74 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2510850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under26c85.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.24,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under44c74.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.644864.6%31 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under48c72.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8647350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Under44c68.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1510449%51 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over54c64.17$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5215858.2%92 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.825452%132 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under30c59.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9126553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe965…e149backed Under44c53.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Over50c50.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9455464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under48c48.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.251,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5422450.4%113 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Under45c45.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.75052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under43c44.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under44c42.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.994549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea15…a9dabacked Under48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Under48c40.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.348333.7%28 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under45c40.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.992,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Under50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Under50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.419248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17a3…8cb3backed Under45c38.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.236355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Over52c37.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.189448.9%46 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under37c36.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.742,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.770455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Over57c33.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.513050%15 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over71c33.18$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7188053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb743…c116backed Under57c31.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over77c28.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.536,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd84c…efd5backed Under44c27.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.313345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe503…6d7bbacked Over53c27.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.932272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+45.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over43c26.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Under46c26.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0218751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f6e…326cbacked Under57c25.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.611675%12 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+151.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0afb…9a96backed Over56c22.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105251.9%27 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over55c20.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0813439.6%53 W · 81 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a73…de17backed Over56c19.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.411442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Over53c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9313549.6%67 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over54c18.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.533,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.