TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe02c…7579

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Cricket, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$20.82
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.75
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.65
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.89
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.92
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.27
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.62
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+46%+$9.02
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$10.99
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$48.47
Spread: Magic (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$23.81
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.78
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.52
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.03
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.35
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.57
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$22.31
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.92
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.01
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$31.88
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed RB Leipzig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.