NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf51f7017cb0eb424a5fec90065ed68cf088518932d049b2dbb74927d1507a52a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $793,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $796,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $793,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 50c | 441,235$220,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220,617.46 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,999.78 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 50c | 76,368$38,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,184.15 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Under | 51c | 60,500$30,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,855 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 49c | 59,596$29,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,213.52 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Over | 51c | 48,464$24,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,809.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 45,447$22,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,726.92 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 50c | 43,583$21,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,791.47 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 51c | 37,224$18,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,984.38 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 33,190$16,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,595.06 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Under | 49c | 17,527$8,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,588.1 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 51c | 12,262$6,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,026.44 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Under | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 10,853$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,228.27 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 9,285$4,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,326.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 8,288$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068.57 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Over | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Under | 44c | 5,200$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.78 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 51c | 4,438$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.37 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.55 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 44c | 3,554$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Under | 49c | 3,552$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.48 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 49c | 2,995$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.55 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…e4cdbacked Under | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c85…94a4backed Over | 50c | 2,666$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 2,259$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.26 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Over | 49c | 2,100$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.12 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.31 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…36c8backed Over | 65c | 1,860$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Under | 51c | 1,742$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.3 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 49c | 1,583$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.95 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,500$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 35c | 1,175$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.39 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Under | 49c | 1,155$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.74 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 51c | 1,121$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.71 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Under | 1c | 1,075$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…589dbacked Under | 51c | 1,064$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.68 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…441ebacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 983.65$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.99 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…cc6abacked Under | 51c | 969.33$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…b757backed Under | 52c | 948.17$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.05 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Under | 50c | 903.04$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…0d22backed Under | 47c | 831.95$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Over | 50c | 795$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Over | 50c | 789.3$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Under | 51c | 780.39$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 48c | 768.81$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.03 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Under | 31c | 764.17$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e83…b22fbacked Under | 51c | 743.94$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.41 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…e0fdbacked Over | 49c | 714.49$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.49 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…96afbacked Over | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 70c | 700.83$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.95 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 52c | 644.91$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.59 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 51c | 570$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Under | 35c | 550$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.9 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Over | 49c | 496.65$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.29 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 50c | 490.72$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.36 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Over | 52c | 432.73$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.46 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 49c | 409.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…9408backed Under | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 53c | 402$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.96 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 52c | 401.92$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 261 | 31%81 W · 180 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Over | 50c | 396$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 50c | 394.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.25 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…9240backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 50c | 378.11$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.16 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 50c | 377.5$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.77 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 49c | 308.63$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.4 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 48c | 305.74$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Under | 50c | 297.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Over | 50c | 295.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.53 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 51c | 284.73$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…08f5backed Over | 52c | 268.57$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over | 53c | 255.83$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Under | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5this page
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Magic vs. PistonsPistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Magic won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.