TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8bac…0d22

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set Handicap: Buse (-1.5) vs Sonego (+1.5)backed Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+131.1%+$457.56
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Aix en Provence: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$161.54
Hailey Baptiste vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Cagliari: Emilio Nava vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$54.09
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205.69
Cagliari: Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)backed Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$138.46
Ruud vs. Blockx: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.49
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$103.61
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150.8%+$455.49
Joao Fonseca vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$37.13
Fonseca vs. Jodar: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+102%+$49.44
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.36
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$227.66
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$320.73
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$296
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$254.98
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$114.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-73.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Exact Score: Fulham FC 1 - 1 Aston Villa FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$40.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$41.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$29.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.