TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$598,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$675,115

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $598,460 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes12c39,467$4,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,736922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes12c38,308$4,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,596.9811149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes13c36,454$4,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7393426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes12c25,925$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1119141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes4c15,178$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.181,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes12c13,333$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.952626.9%7 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes6c10,024$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.3574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes12c8,599$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.1219239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73e…021cbacked Yes3c8,388$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.86219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-66.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41dc…6bbebacked Yes12c7,893$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes12c7,025$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.016229%18 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes5c6,995$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.8161143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec8…e677backed Yes12c6,197$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ce…83a4backed Yes4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes10c3,957$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.45240%0 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes13c3,933$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.3468026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3628…c986backed Yes13c3,835$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.544037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes7c3,729$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.923333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes5c3,550$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6411234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes14c3,204$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.127427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes3c3,177$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.166,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Yes6c3,146$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9819735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes5c2,892$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.486432.8%21 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ab6…ce9bbacked Yes13c2,843$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.64333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes12c2,752$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.244862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes11c2,399$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.8546651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes5c2,172$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.61464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed Yes13c2,112$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.574531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes7c2,051$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.951,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206043.3%26 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92f5…458fbacked Yes12c1,973$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.82835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes2c1,882$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.674841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes12c1,879$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.5326444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes12c1,825$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21990%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Yes12c1,579$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4490%0 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes4c1,487$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4628859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes12c1,471$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5276842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes13c1,284$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9723325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes4c1,267$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6824052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes3c1,210$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.14119.5%8 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Yes1c1,179$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes13c1,161$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9985048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes15c1,142$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.151,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d1…b516backed Yes12c1,119$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.261428.6%4 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d2…2f4dbacked Yes13c1,094$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.17825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Yes9c1,087$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.695139.2%20 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02fd…d257backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99b…1211backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203250%16 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes13c958.52$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.347648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes13c947.8$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.211136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes12c789.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.721752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes12c789.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.727525.3%19 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4449…5095backed Yes12c789.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes12c788.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.679534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes4c706.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2712543.2%54 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes12c704$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4884549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Yes6c695.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.731850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0c…89ccbacked Yes13c681.47$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.59520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-74%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9890…fa33backed Yes15c632.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.92040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd4e…bf9bbacked Yes6c629.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7460%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f7f…336fbacked Yes9c627.58$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes2c626.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.595313.2%7 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes5c598.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.418037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4aa…a19bbacked Yes13c584.79$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-64.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes13c546.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0818123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes4c543.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.743330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Yes5c499.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258930.3%27 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c491.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0454340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5354…2785backed Yes13c479.59$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.351931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes12c473.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8313727.7%38 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2016…3998backed Yes12c473.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.83425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes6c471.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3128824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Yes14c471.79$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.392138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes12c461.92$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4318748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd30…7349backed Yes16c427.32$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes4c424.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.965225%13 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Yes2c416.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+99.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes12c404.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.522955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe724…1938backed Yes12c394.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3611044.5%49 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes13c393.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.11,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed Yes11c378.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.732433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b0…3b4ebacked Yes5c377.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.862352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3960…0975backed Yes8c377$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.48520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-45.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes13c364.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.391546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes13c364.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3925057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4795…0fb0backed Yes13c364.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.39837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes12c355.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6211139.6%44 W · 67 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes8c344.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.162015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Yes13c340.73$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.31428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes10c339.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1311527%31 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Yes12c325.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.041258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+48.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked Yes12c315.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.896432.8%21 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e23…597fbacked Yes6c314.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-60.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2028…8ecdbacked Yes5c314.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.16540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes4c306.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.25825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-43.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked Yes13c301.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.254369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes12c291$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.924245.2%19 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.