Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f6a0c62f2763dea0e634bd48ad42db05ff979e50a280e610735511129f4d980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,358,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,350,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,358,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 857 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb5…c494backed Yes | 73c | 3,269,726$2,390,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879,049.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 24c | 527,228$127,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,228.48 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 25c | 515,949$130,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,633.41 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 25c | 225,000$57,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,000 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 29c | 219,684$63,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,699.18 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…88cfbacked No | 30c | 187,232$55,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,518.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 30c | 180,936$53,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,887.78 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 138,984$31,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,147.86 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 30c | 131,800$39,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,540 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 19c | 130,000$24,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,700 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 30c | 121,506$35,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,918.82 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 30c | 100,004$30,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,501.26 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 30c | 74,252$22,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,086.49 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 31c | 73,468$22,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,774.95 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 19c | 68,900$13,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,407.83 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 29c | 67,242$19,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,755.32 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 30c | 58,300$17,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,228.95 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 29c | 51,444$15,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,164.97 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed No | 21c | 45,698$9,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,525.06 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 31c | 40,909$12,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,686.89 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 38,589$7,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,522.49 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 30c | 36,447$10,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,934.01 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 20c | 30,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 30c | 29,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 30c | 28,614$8,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,584.19 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 30c | 28,600$8,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,580 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 70c | 27,356$19,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,206.71 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9138…0690backed No | 19c | 27,000$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 69c | 26,515$18,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,297.84 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 24,036$4,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 22c | 23,827$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,343.05 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 22c | 23,744$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,124.55 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…e885backed No | 29c | 22,978$6,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,663.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 16c | 20,420$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.99 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 22c | 20,397$4,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,547.31 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…83a4backed No | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…a3e3backed Yes | 79c | 19,179$15,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,107.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 29c | 18,888$5,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,477.52 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 25c | 18,164$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480.18 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 30c | 17,876$5,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.89 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 30c | 16,658$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.5 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 30c | 13,680$4,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,104 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 30c | 13,090$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes | 71c | 12,188$8,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.03 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed No | 31c | 11,680$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 31c | 11,234$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 30c | 11,167$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 31c | 10,340$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.86 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 30c | 10,130$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.63 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 32c | 10,001$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.29 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.95 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 19c | 9,870$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.36 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…067dbacked Yes | 71c | 9,535$6,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 31c | 9,500$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 31c | 9,393$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.92 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 30c | 9,370$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.93 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 32c | 9,114$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.97 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 31c | 8,700$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 29c | 8,580$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Yes | 67c | 8,301$5,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 20c | 8,168$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…94b0backed Yes | 71c | 8,150$5,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 30c | 7,828$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 69c | 7,130$4,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.05 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes | 70c | 7,090$4,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 29c | 7,000$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.97 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 32c | 6,978$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 31c | 6,504$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.61 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 29c | 6,494$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.18 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…7f37backed No | 30c | 6,259$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 71c | 6,176$4,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.71 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 31c | 6,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.97 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 69c | 5,884$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.62 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 69c | 5,689$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.68 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 71c | 5,356$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.26 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 68c | 5,235$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.09 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 29c | 5,099$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.7 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked No | 29c | 4,935$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…9b0bbacked Yes | 70c | 4,910$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 30c | 4,421$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.12 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes | 71c | 4,110$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.69 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 30c | 3,931$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.64 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 30c | 3,912$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.61 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 30c | 3,832$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.6 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 33c | 3,792$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.05 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 31c | 3,579$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.49 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…b0e9backed No | 33c | 3,513$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…458fbacked Yes | 72c | 3,205$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.37 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked No | 31c | 3,157$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.73 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 67c | 3,029$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.72 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.96 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.