TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ba0…e885

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 47 out of 100 (-0.03 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Ligue 1 at 47 out of 100; worst La Liga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$6,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,663.5
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$758.62
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$100.45
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.69
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)backed Fulham FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$47.48
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$35.33
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$20.55
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$51.5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$165
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.49
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$57.04
All 22 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,045.01
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,116.66
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,401Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+191.5%+$4,598.99
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.22
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.46
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$75.81
SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$29.53
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.64
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$133
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$62
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,091.2
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$279.86
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$399.6
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)backed Getafe CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$180.95
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92.85
Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$46.11
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$77
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$48.78
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41.85
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$45.15
Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$29
Paris FC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Paris FC vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Le Havre AC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$14.14
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$56.88
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.