TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,053 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No41c10,924$4,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,474.156,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Yes57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1504641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No35c2,701$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.451,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes65c2,698$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.0528242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No34c2,327$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.992,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes59c1,999$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.593630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No35c1,870$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.4719239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No38c1,020$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.431,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes66c929.95$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.185154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes65c846$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.172853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No34c796.01$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.0485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes56c717.34$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.346446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No35c704.8$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5761143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Yes66c700$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2383063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No33c630.3$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4551750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes56c565.07$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8911125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Yes66c519.44$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.611533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-22.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Yes67c512.19$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.028666.3%57 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17012746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f1d…32fabacked Yes65c470.45$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c414.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.144,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No34c400.96$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.141,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Yes55c370$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.53250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2958…3974backed No28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes59c339.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.118158%47 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x363e…b78bbacked Yes65c327.57$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.65966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44a…8da6backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes67c298.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.667050%35 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes64c279.95$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.989953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Yes65c278$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes65c250.02$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.283754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…1805backed No35c238.88$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf392…bb0dbacked No35c231.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Yes65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.774757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2726344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes66c201.35$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.462040%8 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Yes65c199.85$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.955356.6%30 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes62c178.14$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4246943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes47c175.56$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8412139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes60c173.82$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.51,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes59c170.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.528154.3%44 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes65c169.23$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.237149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes61c165$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89fe…8d55backed Yes66c156$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.041637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.526553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cdc…0ddebacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521580%12 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5903…bc30backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.523348.5%16 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick64cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.524654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa73b…9766backed Yes66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed No55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.54252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes65c135$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2530143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Yes64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.218449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes66c115.29$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.295438.9%21 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes62c108.39$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.196346%29 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc6c…2bf7backed No38c108.39$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.192536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3422832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458731%27 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c39…9acbbacked Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3410147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes55c99.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9955654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39f…0af2backed Yes46c99.92$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.965841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No34c93.46$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.441,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab1d…3204backed Yes66c89.39$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.39683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Yes57c87.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.244143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed No36c77.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x022e…e2c2backed No36c77.42$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd5…9e49backed Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc88c…f67dbacked Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.766144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.766647%31 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes66c74.55$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3513550.4%68 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…88e8backed Yes65c70.94$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes69c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.394440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d29…84a2backed Yes66c57.53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.854254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff5e…a98cbacked Yes65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.852568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeef0…db6fbacked No35c51.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.691040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ea…c56dbacked No41c50.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.742050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1720144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed1f…225fbacked Yes48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…af03backed Yes59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes65c49.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.496947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa51b…b7fdbacked Yes65c49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.152352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No43c46.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.211450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa230…f19fbacked Yes65c46.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.345100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.155250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x971f…fbc8backed Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.452853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes66c45.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.393568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes66c40.91$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.916558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed No35c40.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.256535.4%23 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed No38c40.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1713152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de3…3ad2backed Yes46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.466251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Yes66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.885933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec46…072dbacked Yes66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.885837.9%22 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c3f…9f44backed Yes66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb224…fedbbacked Yes62c34.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.241060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Yes66c33.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.47258.3%42 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ddd…3fe6backed Yes66c33.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.