Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2ce0b03750350f08c12a4daffbde77d3ae2e70b6e1f6a9ebe58067c2fc1cda1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,053 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 10,924$4,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,474.15 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 2,701$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.45 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 65c | 2,698$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.05 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 2,327$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.99 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 59c | 1,999$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.59 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 35c | 1,870$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.47 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 1,020$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.43 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 66c | 929.95$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.18 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes | 65c | 846$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.17 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 34c | 796.01$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.04 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 56c | 717.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.34 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 35c | 704.8$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.57 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Yes | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 33c | 630.3$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.45 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 56c | 565.07$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.89 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 66c | 519.44$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 67c | 512.19$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked Yes | 65c | 470.45$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 414.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.14 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 34c | 400.96$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 55c | 370$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2958…3974backed No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 59c | 339.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.11 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…b78bbacked Yes | 65c | 327.57$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…8da6backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 67c | 298.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 64c | 279.95$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Yes | 65c | 278$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 65c | 250.02$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed No | 35c | 238.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked No | 35c | 231.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 66c | 201.35$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Yes | 65c | 199.85$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 62c | 178.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 47c | 175.56$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 60c | 173.82$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 59c | 170.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 61c | 165$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…8d55backed Yes | 66c | 156$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…0ddebacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73b…9766backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 65c | 135$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes | 66c | 115.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 62c | 108.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed No | 38c | 108.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…9acbbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 46c | 99.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 93.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab1d…3204backed Yes | 66c | 89.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…37fabacked Yes | 57c | 87.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed No | 36c | 77.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…e2c2backed No | 36c | 77.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…9e49backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…f67dbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 66c | 74.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…88e8backed Yes | 65c | 70.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 69c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…84a2backed Yes | 66c | 57.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Yes | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef0…db6fbacked No | 35c | 51.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…c56dbacked No | 41c | 50.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…225fbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…af03backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 65c | 49.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…b7fdbacked Yes | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 43c | 46.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…f19fbacked Yes | 65c | 46.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…fbc8backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes | 66c | 45.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed No | 35c | 40.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 38c | 40.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…3ad2backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…072dbacked Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3f…9f44backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…fedbbacked Yes | 62c | 34.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 66c | 33.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…3fe6backed Yes | 66c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.