TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97b5…42f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
285
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT12746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 127 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.99
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$435
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.99
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$399.91
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.17
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$412.29
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$447.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$620
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$240
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$315
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$195
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$175
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$375
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$295
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$255
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$140
Showing 25 of 127 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT6844.1%30 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.84
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$780
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.95
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$616.01
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.7
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,212.37
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$313.01
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.35
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Atalanta reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.7%+$365.12
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$290
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$205
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$170
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+122.2%+$275
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$195
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$195
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$164
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$153
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+488.2%+$498
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$102
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+354.5%+$195
Jazz vs. Celticsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+455.7%+$615.41
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$140
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$93.99
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.41
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+86%+$185
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$534.16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.47
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$205
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$445
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$389.99
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$277.75
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$495
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+139.7%+$408
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$159.97
Girona vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$78
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$155
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$430
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Real Madrid vs. Valencia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.12
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.55
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$235
Canucks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$140
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$310
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$189
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Utah vs. Sabresbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$352
NHL Playoffs: Maple Leafs vs. Panthers (To Advance)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
NHL Playoffs: Golden Knights vs. Oilers (To Advance)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$110
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-70.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+126.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+193.6%+$1,120.99
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.97
Reds vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+300%+$75
Dodgers vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$53
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+327.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+754.7%+$441.5
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Utah vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$494
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Alabama vs. Dukebacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$304.99
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$165
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+212.5%+$136
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$640
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$178.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.