TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Stars, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$540,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$557,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Stars25c250,000$63,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,484.322330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Jets75c230,441$173,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,110.92657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Stars40c23,317$9,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,310.1811441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Jets56c14,660$8,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,493.683844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Jets55c13,455$7,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,989.7131546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets69c12,805$8,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.91,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jets70c12,048$8,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,643.0792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Jets52c11,470$5,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,505.6636242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Stars34c11,250$3,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,770.5428842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Stars47c11,000$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,149.9813754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Jets55c10,199$5,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,554.135147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Jets75c7,567$5,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.28887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick60cpaid+51.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Stars46c6,409$2,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,947.2930549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Stars44c6,257$2,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,752.962646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Stars44c5,985$2,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,662.937738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Stars45c5,740$2,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,583.1211145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed Stars51c5,440$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,798.521656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Stars27c5,398$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.4410343.7%45 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Stars46c5,170$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4004151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccba…0ce8backed Stars4c4,447$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.354434.1%15 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Jets55c4,400$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9807549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Stars46c4,369$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.5810745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Jets63c4,252$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.35754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.8386649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c46…2d80backed Jets54c3,800$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7481560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets74c3,678$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.561,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd7…cd86backed Stars45c3,660$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.851747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Jets73c3,608$2,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.1758467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Stars0c3,521$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.461458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Stars45c3,454$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.9748050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63f9…b568backed Stars47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20a2…0089backed Jets53c2,985$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc958…849cbacked Stars47c2,984$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b5…fe69backed Stars47c2,800$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Jets78c2,566$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.712161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda0f…2c70backed Stars47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf316…2466backed Stars47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.961,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac63…7afcbacked Jets75c2,439$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Jets67c2,418$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.813348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c4…f5f2backed Stars47c2,400$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ae…3bacbacked Stars45c2,350$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Stars10c2,342$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22754418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars48c2,323$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.4325555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd0…647bbacked Stars47c2,300$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars45c2,291$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.461,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Stars46c2,283$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.224339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Jets53c2,171$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.182657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe18e…28d2backed Stars47c2,100$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b9a…c858backed Stars48c2,092$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Jets48c2,055$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.9222946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbcf…d6a9backed Jets53c2,010$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.69922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3f2…becebacked Stars47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa95e…1924backed Stars47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97b…388dbacked Stars46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9201361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb703…6f88backed Stars47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Stars2c2,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3819548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Jets55c1,982$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.594852.1%25 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71b6…d35bbacked Stars47c1,900$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb1…7c48backed Stars47c1,900$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Stars2c1,822$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.451895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f86…0fa0backed Jets55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f93…39a1backed Stars46c1,817$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.94966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars48c1,660$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Stars36c1,659$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Stars28c1,619$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Stars46c1,577$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8247…22f1backed Jets53c1,525$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed Jets49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.061758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x31a1…7975backed Stars47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9313…84fbbacked Jets54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…2dfbbacked Jets53c1,475$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Jets55c1,460$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.0623642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Jets53c1,451$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.187163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ff…0a9ebacked Jets53c1,413$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa737…e0a5backed Jets53c1,387$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jets53c1,367$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.5172847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Jets68c1,337$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.74151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x918e…3203backed Jets53c1,277$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d5…710ebacked Jets53c1,260$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x479a…2ea1backed Jets53c1,255$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9d…f5abbacked Jets53c1,245$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…900ebacked Jets53c1,240$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked Jets54c1,232$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.456144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d9…f7ffbacked Jets53c1,158$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Jets76c1,150$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27610739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a6d…df6abacked Jets53c1,142$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stars20c1,133$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.733,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ed…2fefbacked Stars47c1,125$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9df4…5161backed Jets53c1,123$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Jets54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.116848.5%33 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9443…e5ecbacked Stars26c1,100$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a6…6db5backed Jets53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8092…da08backed Jets53c1,090$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars51c1,080$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.866951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Stars48c1,076$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.4814538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1231…fbfdbacked Stars47c1,065$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd019…0003backed Jets53c1,062$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Jets55c1,057$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.6664242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f4…377cbacked Jets53c1,038$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.