TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5248…aabb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.24
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,999.8
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,079.44
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,399.86
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,273.33
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.66
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,011Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,877.2
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,123.17
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,439.64
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,089Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,133.22
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,666Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,999.7
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,177.66
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.69
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$889.27
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,066.56
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,441.96
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,579.72
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$368.8
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,532.88
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,720Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$9,279.41
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,156.38
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,466.32
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,666Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$2,999.69
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,948Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$2,286.36
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+66.8%+$4,140.59
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2965.5%19 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,233.21
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$533.12
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11,189Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9,922.17
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,377.68
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,499Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+180.1%+$2,700.31
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,745Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+86.3%+$4,955.44
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,439.64
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,173.04
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,771Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+88.5%+$2,451
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,943Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$1,723.02
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+115.8%+$894.09
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,089Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+114.1%+$1,242.62
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,686Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,979.64
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,222.1
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,999.8
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$616.42
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$1,097.71
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$529.47
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$1,423.13
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$498.96
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$346.32
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$633.27
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$579.29
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$328.56
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$346.31
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+55.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$4,699.53
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,018Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$2,018
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13,352Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.6%+$5,956.66
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,723Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,942.98
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,567Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,766.49
Spread: Texans (-1.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,493Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,173.04
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$3,466.32
Eagles vs. Giants: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,189Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$1,142.68
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$949.62
Bengals vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$168.72
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$957.32
All 11 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+85.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,562Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$2,739.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Group A - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$685.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$37,564.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.