MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x091ad925e9841141482c6c5ee972e42fdbf9c0a3a1040ac918e80e51a9fb6456
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 54c | 20,854$11,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,670.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 46c | 19,681$9,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,066.64 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Under | 54c | 11,826$6,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,382.68 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Under | 54c | 10,700$5,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,955.44 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Over | 47c | 10,096$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,709.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 46c | 10,051$4,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,573.21 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 1c | 9,905$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +339.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Over | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 5,807$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.25 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 54c | 4,609$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.01 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Over | 47c | 3,358$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Under | 53c | 3,070$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.55 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Under | 54c | 2,731$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Over | 46c | 2,040$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.97 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 54c | 1,958$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.34 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,940$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.77 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 1,771$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.5 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 47c | 1,500$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.5 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Over | 45c | 1,269$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.99 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Over | 46c | 999.99$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Over | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 4c | 718.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 55c | 700$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde5…32b5backed Over | 47c | 600$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…4f71backed Under | 56c | 531.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Under | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Under | 54c | 463$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Over | 47c | 303.57$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 47c | 278.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed Under | 55c | 227.28$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Over | 47c | 214.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Over | 47c | 213.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 53c | 213.22$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…138cbacked Over | 47c | 213.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…051fbacked Under | 53c | 205.61$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…b0d6backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 65c | 198$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…7676backed Over | 55c | 185.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Under | 54c | 174.31$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 33c | 169$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 48c | 114.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 56c | 97.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…da60backed Under | 46c | 95.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b8…aec0backed Over | 46c | 95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 46c | 76.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c7…e539backed Under | 54c | 73.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 61c | 68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf889…e4cebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…fb0abacked Over | 49c | 41.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f4…4445backed Under | 55c | 36.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc17…f8fdbacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Over | 40c | 28.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Under | 54c | 27.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- Blue Jays vs. DodgersBlue Jays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.