TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8ee7…051f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 63 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4360.5%26 W · 17 L+7.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+47.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
NFL — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$351.37
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+222.6%+$222.58
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+308.3%+$123.33
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+213.5%+$330.99
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+316.7%+$126.67
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+168.8%+$33.75
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$45.11
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$68.15
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$43.72
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+185.7%+$74.29
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+233.3%+$151.67
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+308.5%+$126.5
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+170.3%+$76.62
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+166%+$166
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$126.72
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$53.21
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+115.1%+$92.06
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+84.7%+$110.05
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$98.68
Pistons vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27.41
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$142
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+180.4%+$288.72
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+86.9%+$95.61
All 4 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.