NFL · resolved market
Bengals vs. Ravens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53c099f2ed67769769fa4de350f85bc4108aa8d0f682e28a2aeb4759a7d08f6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bengalsof Bengals, Ravens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,888,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,528,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,888,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Ravens | 77c | 1,298,791$1,000,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000,068.72 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bengals | 23c | 1,211,131$275,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935,817.24 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Ravens | 78c | 1,008,041$786,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786,191.37 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Bengals | 32c | 743,319$241,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501,865.52 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Bengals | 23c | 422,045$95,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326,454.02 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bengals | 29c | 335,143$97,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237,249.28 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Bengals | 28c | 286,745$78,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207,777.49 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bengals | 55c | 270,641$148,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,760.2 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bengals | 22c | 243,334$54,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188,978.13 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Ravens | 77c | 216,365$166,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166,364.67 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bengals | 22c | 208,180$46,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,157.85 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Ravens | 1c | 193,580$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.8 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bengals | 47c | 159,941$74,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,257.66 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Bengals | 34c | 156,412$53,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,308.4 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Bengals | 22c | 151,605$33,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,251.85 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Bengals | 23c | 150,208$34,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,660.08 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Ravens | 14c | 129,543$18,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,304.73 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Ravens | 1c | 103,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bengals | 23c | 100,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,000 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ravens | 49c | 97,670$47,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,874.91 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Ravens | 78c | 92,165$71,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,719.18 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Ravens | 78c | 80,000$62,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,399.95 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Bengals | 22c | 62,318$13,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,607.92 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ravens | 72c | 59,862$42,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,961.92 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Ravens | 64c | 55,000$35,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,200 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bengals | 23c | 50,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,500 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Bengals | 22c | 50,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,000 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Ravens | 51c | 45,735$23,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,439.95 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Bengals | 24c | 45,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,199.64 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Bengals | 23c | 44,970$10,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,626.9 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bengals | 24c | 43,637$10,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,180.45 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Ravens | 52c | 42,854$22,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,331.99 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Ravens | 78c | 39,664$30,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,937.92 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Ravens | 78c | 38,000$29,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,640 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Ravens | 76c | 34,861$26,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,338.27 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Ravens | 25c | 33,654$8,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,482.58 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Ravens | 76c | 32,895$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Ravens | 77c | 31,333$24,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,220.4 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ravens | 75c | 30,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ravens | 75c | 29,291$21,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,967.95 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Ravens | 70c | 28,759$20,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,055.64 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Bengals | 65c | 28,322$18,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,828.99 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ravens | 79c | 26,830$21,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,119.44 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bengals | 30c | 26,744$7,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,821.28 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…cc80backed Bengals | 32c | 25,190$8,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,129.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ravens | 78c | 25,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ravens | 79c | 24,633$19,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,517.83 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…5a9ebacked Ravens | 78c | 24,465$19,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,082.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…a5afbacked Bengals | 23c | 24,465$5,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,838.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Bengals | 22c | 22,222$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,333.16 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Bengals | 22c | 21,164$4,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,507.92 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…a7e9backed Bengals | 73c | 20,843$15,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,649.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Bengals | 23c | 20,842$4,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,047.96 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bengals | 25c | 20,705$5,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,593.95 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Ravens | 76c | 20,658$15,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,700.08 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Bengals | 37c | 20,532$7,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,858.9 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bengals | 22c | 20,000$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,563.43 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Bengals | 40c | 19,979$8,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,939.32 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Bengals | 29c | 16,310$4,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,587.38 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Bengals | 37c | 16,216$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,216.22 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bengals | 36c | 16,041$5,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,313.78 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Ravens | 76c | 15,554$11,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,820.94 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Bengals | 23c | 15,000$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,620 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Bengals | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Bengals | 55c | 14,673$8,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,636.53 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…300ebacked Bengals | 25c | 14,600$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,950 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Ravens | 68c | 14,343$9,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,796.17 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Ravens | 68c | 14,129$9,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,657.19 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bengals | 27c | 13,983$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,208.6 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Bengals | 23c | 13,333$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,280.55 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bengals | 25c | 13,327$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,986.99 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Bengals | 71c | 12,553$8,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Bengals | 22c | 12,154$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,478.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Ravens | 76c | 12,150$9,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,234 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Bengals | 23c | 12,136$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,344.92 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Bengals | 78c | 11,340$8,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.76 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Ravens | 36c | 10,975$3,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,951.03 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ravens | 76c | 10,969$8,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,336.65 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Ravens | 1c | 10,339$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ravens | 78c | 10,317$8,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,057.47 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Ravens | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Bengals | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Ravens | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…f874backed Bengals | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Ravens | 77c | 9,800$7,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,546 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…0950backed Bengals | 23c | 9,800$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,545.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Bengals | 23c | 9,694$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,464.56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ravens | 27c | 9,555$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.44 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Bengals | 21c | 9,487$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,485.35 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Bengals | 23c | 9,354$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,202.58 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df3…698bbacked Ravens | 6c | 9,278$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9607…2d3abacked Bengals | 22c | 9,091$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,090.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +200.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Ravens | 80c | 8,893$7,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,086.52 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Ravens | 3c | 8,750$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Bengals | 24c | 8,362$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,361.53 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Bengals | 75c | 8,238$6,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.01 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bengals | 26c | 8,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,920 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ravens | 62c | 8,000$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Ravens | 74c | 7,747$5,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,732.43 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Bengals | 22c | 7,605$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,914.74 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bengals vs. Ravensthis page
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Bengals won
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Bengals won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: 1H MoneylineBengals won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: 1H O/U 26.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 51.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 52.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 53.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 54.5Under won
- Ravens Team Total: O/U 38.5Under won
- Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Ravens (-4.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Ravens (-6.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Ravens (-7.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Ravens (-8.5)Bengals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.