TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b8c…9390

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
307
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst WNBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,546Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+230.2%+$10,463.01
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$1,650
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,792
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+400%+$800
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.58
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$750
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$559.99
France vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+900%+$900
Spread: England (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+283.1%+$1,478
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,537Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+185.9%+$6,577.86
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,733Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,732.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$1,685
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$705
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$780
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,340
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.63
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$819.98
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$819.98
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$1,025
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,335Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$665
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST7558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$960
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$490
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$340
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,049.97
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$1,140
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,450
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,440
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$840
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$700
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$1,360
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,060
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$432
Spread: Vikings (-12.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,450
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,320
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$4,359.98
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,039.99
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+56.3%+$720
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,160
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+44.9%+$620
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$4,729.84
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+25%+$500
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$3,300
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,670Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+274.5%+$7,330
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT6953.6%37 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,645
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Uroš Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$1,480
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$520
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.99
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bogdan Guskov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$949.99
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+53%+$2,769.94
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Jared Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.99
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mitch Ramirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Tommy McMillen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$280
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,319Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$2,436.62
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Adrian Yanez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$219.98
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$750
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Shara Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Nazim Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.32
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Asu Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$1,600
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$644.98
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.71
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Quillan Salkilld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$400
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.98
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$650
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,400
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$2,000
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$207.06
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$3,580
Will Alabama win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111.94
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,825Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,825
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,375Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,125
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,665
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+163.2%+$1,240
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$6,360
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$480
Alabama vs. Auburnbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$960
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$840
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$1,100
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$3,992.24
Kansas State vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+113.5%+$1,114.87
Oregon vs. Iowabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,380Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+47.1%+$1,120
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$420
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+29.9%+$102.98
Miami vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,330
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,675Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$825
Duke vs. Clemsonbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+179.1%+$769.99
Vanderbilt vs. Texasbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$841Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$841.41
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,600
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,007Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+183.6%+$3,685.97
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$756
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$464
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+108.3%+$520
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,800
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$730
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$300
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+76.8%+$440.8
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$250
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$515
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+122.2%+$550
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+244.8%+$1,420
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,775Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+181.7%+$3,225.2
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+212.5%+$1,020
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$340
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,539Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$560.7
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000.07
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.24
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$994Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$406
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$580
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+61.4%+$180.64
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,256.38
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight go the distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,395.62
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$291.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,980
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,843Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33.2%+$2,607.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$897.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$775.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$825
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,386
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.