UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe5703b21c9dc7e67d8e24681a080d515824d7ba91e7f1c73bca8325bffa41b4

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Shara Magomedovof Michel Pereira, Shara Magomedov
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $407,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $457,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,915 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Shara Magomedov	78c	79,784$62,453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,331.26	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Michel Pereira	22c	27,941$6,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,075.59	154	44.2%68 W · 86 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Michel Pereira	22c	24,244$5,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,327.58	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Shara Magomedov	78c	18,664$14,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,106.1	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Michel Pereira	20c	16,663$3,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,332.53	145	58.6%85 W · 60 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Michel Pereira	20c	16,600$3,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,320	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Shara Magomedov	77c	16,363$12,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,809.64	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dc6…9889backed Michel Pereira	26c	15,000$3,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,849.9	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93aa…4ab1backed Shara Magomedov	77c	12,948$9,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,021.27	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Michel Pereira	23c	12,607$2,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,879.4	291	33.7%98 W · 193 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Michel Pereira	14c	10,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b12…d642backed Shara Magomedov	78c	10,000$7,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,199.96	51	62.7%32 W · 19 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+22%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Shara Magomedov	78c	8,208$6,402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,805.73	61	72.1%44 W · 17 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Michel Pereira	24c	8,166$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,959.81	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Michel Pereira	24c	7,151$1,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,716.36	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Shara Magomedov	79c	6,875$5,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,443.74	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Shara Magomedov	59c	5,842$3,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,424.13	155	37.4%58 W · 97 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Michel Pereira	27c	5,117$1,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,390.8	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Shara Magomedov	76c	5,000$3,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Michel Pereira	22c	4,545$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Michel Pereira	36c	4,500$1,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,609.99	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Michel Pereira	21c	4,322$908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.69	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Michel Pereira	21c	4,140$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.39	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Michel Pereira	21c	4,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed Shara Magomedov	79c	4,000$3,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	61	72.1%44 W · 17 L	+8.6wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Michel Pereira	21c	3,888$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.48	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Michel Pereira	9c	3,831$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.2	358	48.3%173 W · 185 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Michel Pereira	21c	3,500$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Michel Pereira	23c	3,054$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702.41	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Michel Pereira	47c	2,822$1,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,331.14	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Michel Pereira	53c	2,815$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+67.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Shara Magomedov	77c	2,622$2,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.81	161	58.4%94 W · 67 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…b6abbacked Michel Pereira	20c	2,604$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.8	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1305…46d2backed Shara Magomedov	78c	2,600$2,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	75cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Shara Magomedov	77c	2,581$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580.97	113	64.6%73 W · 40 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Michel Pereira	25c	2,500$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…4652backed Michel Pereira	25c	2,400$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	63	54%34 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e01…b0b5backed Michel Pereira	37c	2,343$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.14	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Michel Pereira	22c	2,255$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.99	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Michel Pereira	23c	2,168$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.39	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-4.2wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Shara Magomedov	75c	2,132$1,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.94	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+61%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Michel Pereira	22c	2,032$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.66	138	36.2%50 W · 88 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48c6…d483backed Michel Pereira	23c	2,007$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.7	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Michel Pereira	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	136	36%49 W · 87 L	-13.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Shara Magomedov	75c	2,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Michel Pereira	22c	2,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Michel Pereira	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.5	215	54.4%117 W · 98 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Shara Magomedov	52c	1,956$1,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$930.34	69	63.8%44 W · 25 L	+11.8wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+24%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf38d…eb9abacked Shara Magomedov	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.08	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	+6.9wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1d4…dcc3backed Shara Magomedov	80c	1,905$1,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.02	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa476…8cfcbacked Shara Magomedov	79c	1,899$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.73	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	69cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Michel Pereira	25c	1,800$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.52	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Michel Pereira	53c	1,775$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938.05	52	73.1%38 W · 14 L	+8.1wins	+0.16per pick	57cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Shara Magomedov	65c	1,666$1,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.72	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Shara Magomedov	53c	1,645$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$765.61	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f86…4fa9backed Shara Magomedov	77c	1,643$1,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.76	145	60%87 W · 58 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13dd…b2b7backed Michel Pereira	24c	1,622$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.17	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Michel Pereira	39c	1,618$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.27	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7358…1d32backed Michel Pereira	44c	1,614$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.55	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Shara Magomedov	66c	1,529$1,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.63	224	38.4%86 W · 138 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Shara Magomedov	79c	1,521$1,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.75	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Shara Magomedov	77c	1,500$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345	356	64.6%230 W · 126 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Shara Magomedov	76c	1,500$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Michel Pereira	21c	1,500$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.99	195	31.8%62 W · 133 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Michel Pereira	21c	1,500$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.99	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Michel Pereira	20c	1,367$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.3	71	59.2%42 W · 29 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…0119backed Shara Magomedov	76c	1,309$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.95	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Shara Magomedov	73c	1,300$949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Shara Magomedov	76c	1,293$983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.28	185	60%111 W · 74 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed Shara Magomedov	74c	1,268$941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.31	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Michel Pereira	45c	1,267$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.13	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Shara Magomedov	79c	1,266$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.82	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Michel Pereira	23c	1,236$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.29	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xded6…f649backed Michel Pereira	24c	1,194$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Shara Magomedov	68c	1,188$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.45	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Shara Magomedov	80c	1,114$891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.8	318	55%175 W · 143 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Shara Magomedov	79c	1,022$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.64	225	48%108 W · 117 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Michel Pereira	21c	1,020$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.11	117	35.9%42 W · 75 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Shara Magomedov	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Shara Magomedov	63c	1,000$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa81c…3d28backed Shara Magomedov	79c	990.73$783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.05	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa995…3d50backed Shara Magomedov	78c	933.53$728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.12	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Shara Magomedov	76c	921$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.04	420	54%227 W · 193 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3fa…da93backed Shara Magomedov	77c	909.09$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.09	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.9wins	+0.21per pick	44cpaid	+75.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Michel Pereira	14c	882.69$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.75	159	33.3%53 W · 106 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52f4…2b15backed Shara Magomedov	68c	878.74$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.74	161	56.5%91 W · 70 L	+10.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+67.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Michel Pereira	23c	871.21$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	128	33.6%43 W · 85 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e0…8618backed Michel Pereira	28c	865$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.9	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5480…b38cbacked Shara Magomedov	76c	849.76$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.44	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Michel Pereira	29c	831.18$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.37	180	32.8%59 W · 121 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea8e…ee37backed Michel Pereira	52c	818.44$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.75	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Shara Magomedov	73c	810.81$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.92	58	63.8%37 W · 21 L	+9.7wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd553…6af5backed Michel Pereira	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-27%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Michel Pereira	38c	785.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Michel Pereira	25c	752$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.07	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5f…b574backed Michel Pereira	40c	750$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1b…724fbacked Shara Magomedov	78c	750$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	49	81.6%40 W · 9 L	+7.8wins	+0.16per pick	66cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Shara Magomedov	76c	749.97$568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.49	339	48.1%163 W · 176 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f3…3426backed Shara Magomedov	51c	743.92$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.47	141	32.6%46 W · 95 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbffe…6492backed Michel Pereira	47c	741.5$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.3	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Will Michel Pereira win by KO or TKO?No won
Will Shara Magomedov win by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event