TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf5f…b574

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT6262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$442.29
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$237.91
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,630Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$602.98
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$399.44
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$200
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$384.31
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michel Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Farman Hasanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$300
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$112.82
UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Murtazali Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$113.93
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,289.59
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$282.05
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mauricio Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$123.15
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$44.99
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Farés Ziam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.7
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Yuneisy Duben · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.33
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kai Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$105.89
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Malcolm Wellmaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.42
UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Nicolle Caliari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$148.26
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+136.6%+$546.35
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$301.75
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,287Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$1,833.43
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,728.33
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$357.91
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,378.1
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.88
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$285.61
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$169.23
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$515.15
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.76
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.32
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$837.25
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,188.84
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$327.79
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$155.56
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$95
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$242.78
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$168.29
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$312.82
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$272.39
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$101.54
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+211%+$989.73
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$170.05
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$493.02
Suns vs. Netsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+26.6%+$90.38
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.1
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$121.29
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+84.8%+$170.75
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$303
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$516
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$171.56
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$146.02
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+51.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$682.52
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$75.12
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$67.69
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$357.08
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$233.8
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$450.69
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+183.2%+$1,176.23
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$519.54
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+93.1%+$59.85
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barriosbacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$296.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$138.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Firebacked Supah Hot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$111.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.