Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x125c399641397f7b7cc111f3729999e32154a916deb1161527af031decde1f77

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,713,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,663,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,713,891 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7b8c…1556backed Yes	57c	136,516$77,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77,975.78	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	44c	120,741$53,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67,501.98	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	44c	98,793$43,822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,970.96	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No	64c	76,012$48,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,557.6	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-9.1wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes	39c	70,097$27,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,229.86	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked No	40c	53,715$21,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,229.24	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	46c	50,687$23,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,107.82	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd849…6ac7backed Yes	60c	50,000$29,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,854.87	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	69cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2271…b8f1backed No	40c	49,952$20,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,810.29	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.32per pick	30cpaid	+42.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf92a…80a7backed No	38c	43,886$16,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,061.21	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec3c…5dc4backed Yes	60c	42,772$25,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,506.36	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	59c	40,226$23,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,738.39	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No	45c	39,159$17,622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,537.6	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	52c	37,904$19,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,675.05	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	48c	37,459$17,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,591.06	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No	40c	35,044$14,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,012.13	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24db…50babacked Yes	45c	33,660$15,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,291.31	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1324…8e3cbacked Yes	55c	26,735$14,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,721.06	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No	45c	25,980$11,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,208.76	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	40c	25,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,000	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No	42c	25,000$10,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,499.87	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	43c	24,849$10,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,592.03	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No	59c	24,798$14,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,231.34	293	33.8%99 W · 194 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe20…67debacked No	41c	23,651$9,655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,996.39	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes	44c	20,000$8,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,899.97	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	-13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No	40c	20,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,999.89	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x046e…2b1fbacked Yes	55c	19,871$10,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,900	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	61c	18,258$11,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,066.26	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d32…9dfcbacked No	57c	17,804$10,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,707.32	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	53c	17,284$9,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,183.52	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No	47c	16,792$7,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,827	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	49c	16,013$7,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,233.68	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed No	46c	15,842$7,287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,554.64	144	49.3%71 W · 73 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	49c	15,461$7,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,846.12	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No	45c	15,348$6,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,396.37	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe94…8a3dbacked Yes	59c	14,136$8,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,340.14	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed No	38c	13,931$5,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,677.28	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.4wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66d5…9e9fbacked No	62c	13,099$8,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,977.44	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	43c	12,548$5,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,404.86	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes	59c	11,660$6,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,829.4	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+57.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	51c	11,500$5,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,605.13	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	51c	11,493$5,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,857.9	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed No	34c	10,000$3,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,599.95	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked No	41c	10,000$4,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,899.91	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	53c	9,684$5,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,526.66	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae50…dc83backed No	63c	9,530$6,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,526.06	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	71cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed91…1de7backed No	63c	9,525$6,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,516.5	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	49c	9,064$4,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,628.59	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f82…463bbacked Yes	57c	9,053$5,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,169.22	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No	72c	9,000$6,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,559.93	83	57.8%48 W · 35 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+77.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Yes	64c	9,000$5,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,739.79	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Yes	56c	8,926$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	321	45.5%146 W · 175 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8534…34d2backed No	42c	8,270$3,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,778.83	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+4.8wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	45c	8,016$3,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,398.23	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a61…2727backed No	40c	8,000$3,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,788.99	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	7,850$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.25	80	3.8%3 W · 77 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	47c	7,781$3,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,116.07	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	23c	7,643$1,772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,771.88	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No	44c	7,381$3,243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,138.21	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e6b…d7eebacked Yes	60c	7,011$4,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,206.85	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0477…db06backed Yes	36c	6,768$2,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,408	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x232d…da84backed No	45c	6,715$3,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,693.2	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	40c	6,569$2,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,613.87	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Yes	65c	6,540$4,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,220.83	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77b8…e82abacked No	57c	6,520$3,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,787.59	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x593c…4b27backed Yes	48c	6,400$3,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,098.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed No	58c	6,210$3,573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,637.09	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85ee…f4dfbacked Yes	40c	6,197$2,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,498.67	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	48c	6,062$2,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,911.86	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No	43c	5,926$2,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,368.85	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes	40c	5,600$2,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,240.01	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa479…9732backed Yes	38c	5,263$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+63.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes	38c	5,263$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fec…e218backed No	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.60per pick	40cpaid	+150%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fed…0d36backed Yes	57c	5,000$2,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,847.98	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,999.91	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-45%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed No	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,699.91	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	44c	4,878$2,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,142.96	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	56c	4,802$2,702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,100.47	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	48c	4,740$2,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,282.16	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	59c	4,657$2,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,924.96	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	57c	4,622$2,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,623.84	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No	41c	4,621$1,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,721.22	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed No	72c	4,580$3,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,282.34	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27e…b0b5backed Yes	38c	4,397$1,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,692.75	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.17per pick	25cpaid	-84%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	55c	4,397$2,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,419.26	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed No	63c	4,256$2,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,558.37	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed No	40c	4,207$1,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,524.32	91	61.5%56 W · 35 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes	42c	3,920$1,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,656.2	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-4.7wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0535…0451backed Yes	62c	3,914$2,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,429.34	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No	60c	3,800$2,274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,525.72	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Yes	60c	3,647$2,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,188.14	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes	53c	3,637$1,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,943.77	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Yes	55c	3,627$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	109	27.5%30 W · 79 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No	57c	3,518$1,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,523.86	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes	28c	3,518$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	147	34%50 W · 97 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes	36c	3,508$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes	14c	3,469$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.94	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b4…fc3dbacked No	63c	3,461$2,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,280.75	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	57c	3,440$1,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,487.57	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event