Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf812cd60daad3492c2bbf7a0f1e8ca5574c2d72a5602f6ed8e65547508cd86e2

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $355,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $401,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,914 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa80e…6aa1backed Yes	6c	42,715$2,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,385.95	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	6c	22,707$1,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,272.31	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	7c	14,259$962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$962	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes	7c	10,782$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.5	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	7c	7,500$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	7c	6,183$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.9	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…f1d4backed Yes	7c	6,135$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.82	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	8c	5,805$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.89	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5b…529abacked Yes	5c	5,770$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes	3c	5,168$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.7	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	3,822$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.71	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	3,769$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.86	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes	6c	3,761$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.26	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	7c	3,732$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.34	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf366…15adbacked Yes	6c	2,952$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.67	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	2c	2,736$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.04	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…978fbacked Yes	5c	2,398$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.67	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes	7c	2,385$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.94	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked Yes	6c	2,304$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.91	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	3c	2,135$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.68	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	3c	2,123$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.7	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	6c	2,122$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.49	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	1c	2,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.97	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	5c	1,996$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.58	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	6c	1,865$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.22	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	6c	1,766$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.05	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	7c	1,650$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.05	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	7c	1,555$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.85	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99a5…bac4backed Yes	4c	1,516$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.5	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	1,506$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.93	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Yes	3c	1,496$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.59	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	6c	1,490$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.21	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes	6c	1,453$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.67	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes	7c	1,435$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes	4c	1,400$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	5c	1,385$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.22	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Yes	8c	1,328$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed19…b6ffbacked Yes	5c	1,263$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.95	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6058…5e02backed Yes	4c	1,219$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.65	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes	7c	1,112$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.78	399	51.6%206 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdb…3312backed Yes	7c	1,056$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	103	29.1%30 W · 73 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca84…6f8dbacked Yes	7c	1,032$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.64	71	38%27 W · 44 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	4c	1,024$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.56	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes	6c	801.85$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.52	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc5…6aa4backed Yes	5c	718.51$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.14	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bb…3d35backed Yes	7c	704.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	4c	662.3$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.07	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x073e…8416backed Yes	6c	657.09$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.81	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	4c	649.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Yes	5c	635.96$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.15	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x799a…78c1backed Yes	5c	631.54$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	4c	629.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.63	55	20%11 W · 44 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2db…ffcbbacked Yes	8c	623.42$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.25	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes	4c	610.59$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.41	293	33.8%99 W · 194 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes	7c	603.35$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.14	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes	4c	545.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	93	51.6%48 W · 45 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c74…2b83backed Yes	4c	529.57$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	7c	524.19$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.27	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a3…9b79backed Yes	6c	500$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc68a…39d5backed Yes	5c	493.07$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.11	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes	5c	478.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.35	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	4c	476$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.59	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes	7c	464.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.07	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c7b…9166backed Yes	7c	455.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	41	22%9 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-52%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	5c	441.66$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.99	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	3c	424.21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.57	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3cf…6fd8backed Yes	5c	407.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	4c	392.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.32	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed Yes	6c	385.03$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.69	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	3c	372.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa292…9742backed Yes	8c	362.05$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	6c	357$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	3c	351.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	56	3.6%2 W · 54 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d2…593cbacked Yes	4c	351.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	8cpaid	+89.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5231…aedcbacked Yes	6c	308.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	4c	297.04$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0848backed Yes	5c	289.66$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.93	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes	7c	283.31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	95	16.8%16 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfc…0598backed Yes	7c	281.69$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-20%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f8d…bd39backed Yes	7c	281.69$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Yes	7c	258.11$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.28	143	35.7%51 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes	6c	230.66$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.53	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed Yes	7c	227.69$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	5c	220.46$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Yes	7c	220$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.62	220	58.2%128 W · 92 L	+18.8wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	5c	220$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d4…4d49backed Yes	5c	197.17$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.37	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x226a…c7debacked Yes	8c	156.24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8719…7213backed Yes	7c	149.72$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event