Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x224488d5b8e4e454c6f7ed545bd56d3d5768b582eee6bbddf286ad5ccd8adadf

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $689,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $727,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $689,415 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	14c	20,435$2,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,888.3	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Yes	5c	20,000$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.38	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+13.4wins	+0.18per pick	30cpaid	+80.2%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4b40…2f6abacked Yes	15c	19,388$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb83…306fbacked Yes	9c	16,890$1,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,460.97	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes	4c	14,382$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.84	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6885…c478backed Yes	8c	12,594$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Yes	16c	7,842$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+3.5wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa962…8978backed Yes	12c	7,456$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	6c	7,237$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.84	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	7,200$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed19…b6ffbacked Yes	5c	6,921$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.85	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a06…2e5ebacked Yes	4c	6,787$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	6c	6,132$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.27	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd975…63e4backed Yes	15c	6,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	40	20%8 W · 32 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	11c	5,981$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.39	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	5,400$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.15	80	3.8%3 W · 77 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes	6c	5,221$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.9	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes	16c	4,984$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.42	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	16c	4,921$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805.31	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes	13c	4,155$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522	107	49.5%53 W · 54 L	+11.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x403c…72a1backed Yes	14c	4,000$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.99	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	14c	3,753$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.03	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x129d…7d2dbacked Yes	8c	3,727$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.69	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1851…7016backed Yes	15c	3,401$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+7.5wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcc3e…0e8dbacked Yes	10c	3,373$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	53	13.2%7 W · 46 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-34%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb838…29bebacked Yes	15c	3,129$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d18…b702backed Yes	10c	3,047$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	13c	3,006$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.22	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7960…f8a8backed Yes	16c	3,000$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Yes	7c	2,948$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.78	78	26.9%21 W · 57 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	2,621$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.55	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes	16c	2,544$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.66	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426f…bdadbacked Yes	8c	2,469$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.49	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	12c	2,454$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.15	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5b…529abacked Yes	16c	2,413$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.1	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Yes	15c	2,213$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328	226	20.4%46 W · 180 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51df…8605backed Yes	14c	2,195$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9454…325bbacked Yes	14c	2,140$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.06	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	5c	2,119$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.74	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes	15c	2,041$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	165	38.2%63 W · 102 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca4f…ddc4backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa292…9742backed Yes	16c	1,911$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe652…83d4backed Yes	14c	1,898$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.71	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	13c	1,893$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.18	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	14c	1,854$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.95	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes	4c	1,854$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.31	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	13c	1,773$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.91	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88cf…924dbacked Yes	16c	1,763$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.77	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	2c	1,500$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	6c	1,500$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.62	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes	5c	1,475$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.75	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad99…dbabbacked Yes	6c	1,396$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.35	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6293…22debacked Yes	15c	1,377$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ca…2656backed Yes	15c	1,370$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.01	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe678…b083backed Yes	16c	1,325$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.25	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf990…4d02backed Yes	8c	1,324$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb03…3c5fbacked Yes	16c	1,290$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.22	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	11c	1,283$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.17	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6495…0181backed Yes	8c	1,280$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	118	55.9%66 W · 52 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	14c	1,251$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.43	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…350cbacked Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	125	29.6%37 W · 88 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	13c	1,228$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.34	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4447…e040backed Yes	8c	1,224$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-35%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	6c	1,223$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.63	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2033…ff4dbacked Yes	16c	1,143$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes	5c	1,100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.35	127	35.4%45 W · 82 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes	12c	1,081$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.78	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5df…09a1backed Yes	7c	1,069$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.81	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+3.4wins	+0.19per pick	20cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa10…7f13backed Yes	14c	1,067$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57bd…3595backed Yes	5c	1,059$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.2	75	26.7%20 W · 55 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd141…259dbacked Yes	15c	1,046$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.09	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9288…7334backed Yes	8c	1,027$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.92	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes	4c	1,018$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.84	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes	7c	1,000$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes	17c	999.68$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.05	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4518…25b0backed Yes	15c	995.33$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.32	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	4c	988.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	43	14%6 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+41%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ab…bc60backed Yes	15c	969.21$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.38	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba0f…d64cbacked Yes	16c	946.83$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	2c	944.56$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.36	56	3.6%2 W · 54 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a3…9b79backed Yes	15c	912.37$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.97	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	5c	910$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes	9c	899.95$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.33	93	51.6%48 W · 45 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba84…320ebacked Yes	6c	880$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.6	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…c7aabacked Yes	15c	825.99$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.34	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadc5…6aa4backed Yes	10c	804.08$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x045c…7b25backed Yes	17c	773.78$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	62	32.3%20 W · 42 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39ca…08ccbacked Yes	13c	768.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	9c	767.55$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.22	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	9c	721.67$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.74	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f05…7e5dbacked Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	304	32.6%99 W · 205 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc47…a4efbacked Yes	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f48…0e01backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	151	30.5%46 W · 105 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c4…a006backed Yes	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161d…f7dabacked Yes	14c	696$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.44	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+45.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb90f…ea7abacked Yes	15c	675.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	190	40%76 W · 114 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes	15c	675.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	458	20.3%93 W · 365 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb5e…f025backed Yes	15c	674.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1581…ec76backed Yes	6c	671.61$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.63	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed Yes	13c	662$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.05	326	47.9%156 W · 170 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event