Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf329eebe5d2d310f099fd9628f1c77a47646f5ce177239e03cb208c37c88137

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $240,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $211,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,560 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	5c	15,318$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.73	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x233e…02c3backed Yes	4c	13,825$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	7c	12,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.99	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf748…c387backed Yes	1c	11,407$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.41	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	6c	10,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	6c	9,540$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.68	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	7,400$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.1	80	3.8%3 W · 77 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	7c	6,717$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.98	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Yes	5c	6,500$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	187	39%73 W · 114 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Yes	5c	6,497$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.64	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x874a…9d2ebacked Yes	8c	5,909$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.21	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	6c	5,381$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.14	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes	5c	5,000$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	+17.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	4,647$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.8	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	4,638$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.43	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	3c	3,528$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.97	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8bf…bd58backed Yes	5c	3,440$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.73	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	6c	3,198$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.59	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes	5c	2,262$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.83	95	16.8%16 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	4c	1,500$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.98	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	7c	1,486$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.68	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbe…5fd4backed Yes	3c	1,441$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	10%1 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Yes	2c	1,342$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	72	26.4%19 W · 53 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Yes	4c	1,329$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.67	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	3c	1,292$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.91	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes	4c	1,226$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.83	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	4c	1,222$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.88	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ad…ca63backed Yes	6c	1,079$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.81	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	5c	1,048$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.48	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	4c	1,024$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.86	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be4…8477backed Yes	3c	1,021$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.19	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	4c	993.77$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.03	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	5c	807.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.93	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	4c	775.78$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.75	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	4c	766.67$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.23	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes	3c	675.1$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a5…bac4backed Yes	6c	638.44$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.31	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Yes	5c	591.66$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.27	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes	3c	530.71$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.48	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x929a…5ab4backed Yes	5c	507.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	4c	465.19$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.06	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x162f…978fbacked Yes	4c	412.96$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.25	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ee…7b80backed Yes	6c	405.3$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.32	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x612a…177dbacked Yes	5c	400.83$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.22	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-80.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes	7c	400$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	93	51.6%48 W · 45 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9454…325bbacked Yes	7c	400$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	4c	399.97$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.98	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadc5…6aa4backed Yes	5c	399.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed Yes	3c	399.39$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.98	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cd3…a8d7backed Yes	7c	395.47$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+46%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c7b…9166backed Yes	5c	384.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	22%9 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-52%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa292…9742backed Yes	7c	373.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes	5c	334.57$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	5c	316.74$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a31…b2c2backed Yes	7c	276.19$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+7.2wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Yes	5c	255$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.13	170	42.4%72 W · 98 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	4c	248.54$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	65	21.5%14 W · 51 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90a4…36afbacked Yes	5c	247.24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.73	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90d3…b477backed Yes	8c	211.57$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.93	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yes	5c	203.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event