Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ad867208540846e9cc09dc722daff9dfba753afc985e145c81edbb82fb500e5

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $508,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $565,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,938 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes	13c	45,471$6,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,100.25	85	21.2%18 W · 67 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x308f…35cabacked Yes	12c	20,000$2,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,433.64	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0371…70c3backed Yes	13c	7,491$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.72	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf766…a210backed Yes	14c	6,901$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Yes	12c	6,889$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.78	187	39%73 W · 114 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Yes	10c	6,800$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	9c	6,554$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.88	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	13c	6,029$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.91	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c1…84c5backed Yes	11c	6,012$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cec…91cdbacked Yes	17c	5,760$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-87.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f6…f335backed Yes	18c	5,489$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.95	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	11c	5,030$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.02	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes	11c	5,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	17c	5,000$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes	16c	4,395$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.99	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df2…af71backed Yes	17c	3,761$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.73	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	15c	3,573$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2080…36d2backed Yes	14c	3,571$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa09c…8d5dbacked Yes	13c	3,385$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	14c	2,742$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.31	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	80c	2,695$2,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.57	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5483…c833backed Yes	13c	2,502$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes	11c	2,482$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f91…9468backed Yes	15c	2,170$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.23	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…2e65backed Yes	21c	2,128$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.64	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a4…77f0backed Yes	15c	2,106$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.05	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes	12c	2,096$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.62	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	15c	2,051$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.49	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed Yes	17c	2,051$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.84	350	41.1%144 W · 206 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed Yes	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66b…2644backed Yes	25c	1,968$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.95	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Yes	13c	1,929$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fb6…f63dbacked Yes	13c	1,929$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.54	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+4.1wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+149.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes	18c	1,825$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	272	39%106 W · 166 L	-12.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cad…5dd0backed Yes	21c	1,700$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.36	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4e…63e0backed No	79c	1,542$1,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.71	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf748…c387backed Yes	11c	1,540$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.42	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd4…ebc4backed Yes	13c	1,539$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.07	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Yes	13c	1,532$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.6	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df1…72e7backed No	79c	1,519$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.99	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	12c	1,487$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.01	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	14c	1,350$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.56	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x709f…3115backed Yes	19c	1,323$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc24…e16bbacked Yes	11c	1,290$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8732…b2dbbacked Yes	13c	1,184$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No	70c	1,150$805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f0…b93abacked Yes	22c	1,150$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.27	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1607…0324backed Yes	22c	1,143$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Yes	19c	1,120$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.8	103	26.2%27 W · 76 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec74…33a1backed Yes	22c	1,081$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	15c	1,056$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.79	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb33b…4dbebacked Yes	19c	1,053$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-82.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe0…919ebacked Yes	19c	1,052$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.94	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc37…fdf4backed No	79c	1,040$817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.62	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76d…3e8ebacked Yes	21c	1,030$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	99	42.4%42 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a3…7235backed Yes	19c	1,022$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be4…8477backed Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10e4…b019backed Yes	19c	999.96$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.99	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-2.7wins	-0.17per pick	29cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes	23c	960.55$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.28	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e09…060dbacked Yes	22c	914.6$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92aa…8dc4backed Yes	12c	910.26$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x77c1…711bbacked No	79c	855.38$673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.01	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe34e…c0f4backed Yes	20c	800.01$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.91	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65b8…3c05backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	226	48.2%109 W · 117 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ce…fd49backed Yes	17c	764.71$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb43a…954cbacked Yes	12c	749.55$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.01	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b7…c665backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa03…e33ebacked Yes	18c	711.27$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.03	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	2c	711$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a5…bac4backed Yes	18c	699.99$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8c…934fbacked Yes	23c	682.61$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e26…23c9backed Yes	12c	675.13$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x156a…f084backed Yes	15c	649.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2542…ce06backed Yes	16c	634.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff20…7bcabacked Yes	17c	633.06$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.62	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9c…bb4cbacked Yes	12c	625$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc0…ab69backed Yes	16c	601.7$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.89	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x828f…fa80backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	27%24 W · 65 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9867…cffcbacked Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02d1…223bbacked Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	10c	568.48$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.85	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x601f…76adbacked Yes	14c	554.37$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.61	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes	11c	533.41$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.45	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33c…a724backed Yes	14c	527$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.09	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	19.6%44 W · 180 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d86…9241backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	120	20.8%25 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes	19c	523.47$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	151	31.8%48 W · 103 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d28…41f8backed Yes	14c	510.71$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.5	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8262…eddebacked Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed No	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1962…8ea9backed Yes	20c	488.81$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…a27abacked Yes	21c	485.96$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7baa…71d7backed Yes	21c	476.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed No	79c	466.92$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.5	43	14%6 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+41%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x563c…3455backed Yes	21c	460.62$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.73	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e2…59e6backed Yes	22c	448.23$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac1…a76bbacked Yes	12c	434.01$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcab…3376backed Yes	11c	421.94$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.08	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-78.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event