TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe34e…c0f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Commodities, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 53 out of 100; worst Tweets at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6833.8%23 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+506.3%+$1,289.97
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.9
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$204.7
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.09
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$93.31
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.5
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.25
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.75
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.91
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.99
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.49
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.26
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.86
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT6547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$748.7
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.6
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$70.75
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.54
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$65.96
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$14.57
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$31.97
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.07
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$75.09
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35.58
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,080
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$127.82
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.63
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zug: Zsombor Piros vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.48
Zug: Max Alcala Gurri vs Martin Krumichbacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$26.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.