Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x523925c20f6ab08c8189aceccf6e4e47d1bb0c9032d553e1cf296e56e60efdce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Everton FCof Manchester City FC, Everton FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $401,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $401,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Everton FC | 60c | 203,478$122,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,248.99 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 70,000$28,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,700 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Everton FC | 58c | 56,826$33,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,588.67 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Everton FC | 59c | 39,556$23,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,383.92 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 29,631$11,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,650.29 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Manchester City FC | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,750 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 24,301$9,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,984.55 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Manchester City FC | 42c | 10,537$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 10,244$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Manchester City FC | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Everton FC | 59c | 9,538$5,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.73 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Manchester City FC | 39c | 7,311$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.63 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Manchester City FC | 39c | 6,919$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.66 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Manchester City FC | 42c | 6,690$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.8 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Manchester City FC | 42c | 5,976$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Manchester City FC | 39c | 5,151$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.81 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 5,092$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.66 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Manchester City FC | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Everton FC | 60c | 4,625$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.16 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 4,405$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Everton FC | 60c | 4,300$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Manchester City FC | 40c | 4,063$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 3,624$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 3,289$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.21 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed Everton FC | 59c | 3,242$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 3,015$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.76 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…1982backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manchester City FC | 17c | 2,777$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.35 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Everton FC | 60c | 2,745$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.34 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Manchester City FC | 40c | 2,454$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 2,400$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.99 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 2,324$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.02 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Manchester City FC | 41c | 2,190$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 2,025$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.54 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Everton FC | 59c | 2,002$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.26 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63da…d5cebacked Everton FC | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Manchester City FC | 40c | 1,944$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Manchester City FC | 53c | 1,827$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Everton FC | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 1,655$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.45 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 1,624$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Everton FC | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 1,292$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Manchester City FC | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e1…c25cbacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Manchester City FC | 42c | 1,087$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.49 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Manchester City FC | 13c | 993.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 973.07$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.77 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Everton FC | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 772.09$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc193…5160backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Manchester City FC | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…019bbacked Manchester City FC | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 729.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.3 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 715.19$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.82 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -7.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 682.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 678.11$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 671.75$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.78 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Manchester City FC | 39c | 671$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.81 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Manchester City FC | 53c | 632.92$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.93 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Manchester City FC | 16c | 616.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Manchester City FC | 52c | 601$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.52 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 597.56$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 575$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Everton FC | 59c | 554.21$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.23 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 547.62$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Manchester City FC | 52c | 544.23$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -7.4wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Manchester City FC | 39c | 543$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.77 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…8aecbacked Manchester City FC | 41c | 531.76$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 524.39$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 516.92$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Everton FC | 60c | 514$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9552…bb8fbacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 513.95$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Manchester City FC | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Everton FC | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Manchester City FC | 41c | 499.83$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Everton FC | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 482$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…2eeebacked Manchester City FC | 41c | 475.61$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…3484backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 463.41$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af2…f92fbacked Manchester City FC | 41c | 462.02$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.43 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Everton FC | 59c | 455.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.45 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Manchester City FC | 40c | 437.16$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.93 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad2…fb00backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 428.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Manchester City FC | 34c | 412.27$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
- Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.