TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Everton FCof Manchester City FC, Everton FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Everton FC78c16,740$13,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,667.666,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Manchester City FC22c4,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88027955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa23…7afabacked Manchester City FC22c2,243$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Manchester City FC21c2,211$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.0435941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Manchester City FC22c1,352$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Manchester City FC22c1,350$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29745936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Manchester City FC23c1,135$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.7217327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Manchester City FC22c887.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed Manchester City FC22c826.09$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.293033.3%10 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Manchester City FC21c799.97$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9913554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Manchester City FC21c521.86$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5915046%69 W · 81 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Manchester City FC21c517.69$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.721631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Everton FC79c500.89$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1920545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc310…0966backed Everton FC78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1106100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Everton FC78c499.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11023258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Manchester City FC22c496.41$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2111229.5%33 W · 79 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Everton FC77c493.54$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0472142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Everton FC78c484.8$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf05b…c2aebacked Manchester City FC22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8453…76bfbacked Everton FC80c440$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Manchester City FC25c384$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Everton FC80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Everton FC78c344.74$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8435652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Everton FC78c339.55$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4459445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Manchester City FC22c322.73$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7122125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Manchester City FC18c311.21$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.154,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Manchester City FC22c307$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.543135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Everton FC79c303$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6329250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Everton FC78c299.99$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6655751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Manchester City FC21c299.97$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.994425%11 W · 33 L-7.2wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Manchester City FC22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513727.7%38 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Everton FC79c242.46$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.929265.2%60 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked Manchester City FC23c209.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.082133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…d4cebacked Manchester City FC22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-74.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Manchester City FC25c185.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.382528%7 W · 18 L-7.4wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-48.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed Manchester City FC22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Manchester City FC22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402714.8%4 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Manchester City FC24c170.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.652250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Manchester City FC21c168.53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.582634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Manchester City FC22c134.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302020%4 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7714…b1c8backed Manchester City FC22c133.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Manchester City FC22c132.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.340821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Everton FC80c126.55$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5642862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Everton FC78c125.63$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.722146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Manchester City FC22c125.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.926250%31 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester City FC24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775c…e84dbacked Manchester City FC22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Manchester City FC21c112.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5251516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8ca…c93abacked Manchester City FC25c112$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d9…d702backed Manchester City FC22c109.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+75.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Manchester City FC22c104.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Everton FC80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Manchester City FC22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Everton FC79c91.76$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3112963.6%82 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Everton FC79c91$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.824557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…c9bfbacked Manchester City FC22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+211.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Everton FC76c90.4$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4561143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Manchester City FC22c88.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.475839.7%23 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b01…e682backed Manchester City FC23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-67.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6925…d76dbacked Manchester City FC23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Manchester City FC23c85.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.858219.5%16 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Manchester City FC26c83.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.653522.9%8 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Everton FC79c81.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9318358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Manchester City FC17c74.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.721,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Manchester City FC20c74.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.948441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Manchester City FC22c71.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.774346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Manchester City FC21c65.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.73951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Everton FC78c62.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5159247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Everton FC80c62.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.521254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67c3…d11dbacked Manchester City FC26c56.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.613026.7%8 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-47.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Everton FC79c51.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7218463%116 W · 68 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x274e…1d72backed Manchester City FC20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Everton FC78c43.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5827752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5f…0614backed Manchester City FC25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c06…dd56backed Everton FC78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.85158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Everton FC80c37.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.714965.3%32 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c1c…5650backed Everton FC80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Everton FC73c37.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.157263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Everton FC78c36.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9311250.9%57 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Everton FC79c32.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9722057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Everton FC79c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.094341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…ba99backed Everton FC80c28.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.65540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Everton FC75c27.61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.999246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Everton FC80c24.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9811858.5%69 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Everton FC78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.410257.8%59 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17b6…af55backed Everton FC79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick72cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Everton FC75c18.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.71,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed3d…f1eabacked Everton FC80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.751478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+66%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed Everton FC79c17.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.74660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Everton FC79c14.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.095240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…3e9fbacked Everton FC80c13.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.68580%4 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick79cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Everton FC79c12.69$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.61862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a1…c3bebacked Everton FC80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.